Henderson Silver Knights vs Tucson Roadrunners prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostHenderson2.33Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.39Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonTucson +1.5odds down 1.35Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHenderson1.83Confidence 56%
- Double chanceLostHenderson or draw1.49Confidence 67%
- Draw no betLostHenderson1.83Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostHenderson2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.81Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 23, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 2, Tucson Roadrunners 1, after overtime.
- Apr 18, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 5, Henderson Silver Knights 4.
- Apr 17, 2026: Tucson Roadrunners 2, Henderson Silver Knights 1, after a shootout.
- Apr 4, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 5, Tucson Roadrunners 4.
- Apr 3, 2026: Henderson Silver Knights 4, Tucson Roadrunners 3.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 against Tucson Roadrunners, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Henderson 2.50, Tucson 2.20.
- Win, 5–2 at Ontario Reign, Oct 17. Odds: Ontario 2.37, Henderson 2.20.
- Win, 4–0 against Coachella Valley Firebirds, Oct 14. Odds: Henderson 2.10, Coachella 2.65.
- Loss, 0–2 at San Diego Gulls, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–3 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 4.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Henderson Silver Knights, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Henderson 2.50, Tucson 2.20.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against San Diego Gulls, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Tucson 2.37, San Diego 2.15.
- Win, 3–0 against San Diego Gulls, Oct 16. Odds: Tucson 2.38, San Diego 2.32.
- Win, 4–1 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 10.
- Win, 7–4 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 9. Odds: San Jose 2.00, Tucson 2.95.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 00:24 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Hebig C. assists: McCartney B., Poganski A. 0-1
- 06:09 Goal PPG Tucson Roadrunners: Poganski A. assists: Desnoyers C., Iginla T. 0-2
- 13:15 Goal Henderson Silver Knights: Ginning A. assists: Gustafson J., Uronen T. 1-2
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period0-2
- 08:40 Goal Tucson Roadrunners: Hebig C. assists: McCartney B., Iginla T. 1-3
- 12:56 Goal PPG Tucson Roadrunners: Roy J. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Henderson Silver Knights and Tucson Roadrunners played yesterday.
- 3-game winning streak for Henderson Silver Knights coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Henderson Silver Knights −0.3, Tucson Roadrunners +0.8 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Henderson Silver Knights.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HSK) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TUC) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HSK | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 | |
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 | |
| 5 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Henderson Silver Knights host Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.