Herlev vs Aalborg prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 27% in regulation
Hellnemo A.StartedSV 93.3% · GAA 1.67 · 6-4-0
Olofsson E.StartedSV 90.5% · GAA 2.00 · 5-5-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonHerlevodds up 1.77Confidence 52%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.38Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostAalborg +1.5odds up 1.47Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHerlevodds up 1.49Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonHerlev or drawodds down 1.29Confidence 73%
- Draw no betWonHerlevodds up 1.43Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHerlevodds up 2.31Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.21Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Herlev 3–2
Aalborg Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHerlev
Aalborg
Head-to-head
Herlev 1–4
Aalborg - Sep 15, 2026: Aalborg 3, Herlev 2, after overtime.
- Jan 13, 2026: Aalborg 5, Herlev 3.
- Jan 6, 2026: Herlev 5, Aalborg 2.
- Nov 25, 2025: Aalborg 5, Herlev 1.
- Nov 18, 2025: Herlev 5, Aalborg 7.
Last five games
Herlev
3-2-0 - Win, 3–0 against Rungsted, Oct 10. Odds: Herlev 2.50, Rungsted 2.18.
- Win, 5–3 at Rungsted, Oct 9. Odds: Rungsted 2.14, Herlev 2.55.
- Loss, 1–3 at Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 5.
- Win, 4–1 against Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 2.
- Loss, 4–6 at Herning Blue Fox, Sep 29.
Aalborg
2-3-0 - Win, 3–1 at Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 11.
- Loss, 0–1 against Rungsted, Oct 4.
- Win, 7–4 at Rungsted, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–2 against Sonderjyske Ishockey, Sep 28.
- Loss, 0–3 against Esbjerg, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 13:56 Goal Herlev: Cubars V. assists: Asperup M., Jonsson J. 1-0
2nd period0-1
- 10:29 Goal Aalborg: Lindelof A. assists: Kvist O. 1-1
3rd period2-0
- 17:52 Goal Herlev: Cubars V. assists: Asperup M., Jonsson I. 2-1
- 19:14 Goal Herlev: Asperup M. assists: Falk K. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Aalborg, who played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Herlev dropped from 1.62 to 1.47 since they were first published.
- In goal: Hellnemo A. for Herlev (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Olofsson E. for Aalborg (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Aalborg.
- +1.2 goals at home — Herlev averaged 3.4 at home and 2.2 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HER) | 1.83 | 1.83 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.14 | 4.14 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (AAL) | 3.48 | 3.48 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HER | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Herning Blue Fox |
17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 |
| 2 |  Frederikshavn |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 3 |  Esbjerg |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 |
| 4 |  Sonderjyske Ishockey |
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 |
| 5 |  Odense Bulldogs |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 |
| 6 | Herlev |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 7 |  Rungsted |
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 |
| 8 |  Rodovre Mighty Bulls |
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 |
| 9 | Aalborg |
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Herlev host Aalborg in the Metal Ligaen on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.