Herlev vs Frederikshavn prediction
Chance to win · 54% and 26% in regulation
Hellnemo A.StartedSV 90% · GAA 2.50 · 6-4-0
Vay A.Started3-5-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostHerlevodds down 1.60Confidence 56%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.40Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonFrederikshavn +2.5odds up 1.47Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHerlevodds down 1.37Confidence 67%
- Double chanceWonHerlev or drawodds down 1.21Confidence 75%
- Draw no betPushHerlevodds down 1.31Confidence 71%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHerlevodds down 2.10Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Herlev 4–2
Frederikshavn Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min2–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 5-3 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHerlev
Frederikshavn
Head-to-head
Herlev 4–1
Frederikshavn - Sep 25, 2026: Frederikshavn 2, Herlev 1.
- Mar 6, 2026: Herlev 6, Frederikshavn 0.
- Feb 20, 2026: Frederikshavn 2, Herlev 3.
- Dec 19, 2025: Herlev 3, Frederikshavn 2.
- Dec 17, 2025: Frederikshavn 0, Herlev 2.
Last five games
Herlev
4-1-0 - Win, 3–1 against Aalborg, Oct 12. Odds: Herlev 1.83, Aalborg 3.48.
- Win, 3–0 against Rungsted, Oct 10. Odds: Herlev 2.50, Rungsted 2.18.
- Win, 5–3 at Rungsted, Oct 9. Odds: Rungsted 2.14, Herlev 2.55.
- Loss, 1–3 at Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 5.
- Win, 4–1 against Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 2.
Frederikshavn
3-2-0 - Loss, 0–6 against Herning Blue Fox, Oct 9. Odds: Frederikshavn 4.60, Herning 1.44.
- Win, 6–5 at Esbjerg, after a shootout, Sep 30.
- Loss, 0–7 at Herning Blue Fox, Sep 27.
- Win, 2–1 against Herlev, Sep 25.
- Win, 4–3 against Esbjerg, Sep 20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 17:00 Goal Herlev: Cubars V. assists: Ask I., Asperup M. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 04:32 Goal Herlev: Jonsson J. assists: True O., Cubars V. 2-0
3rd period0-2
- 08:01 Goal Frederikshavn: Frederiksen C. 2-1
- 10:01 Goal Frederikshavn: Frederiksen C. assists: Gymer F. 2-2
Overtime1-0
- 02:39 Goal Herlev: Jonsson I. assists: True O. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Herlev coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Herlev dropped from 1.37 to 1.28 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Frederikshavn, 3 for Herlev.
- In goal: Hellnemo A. for Herlev (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Vay A. for Frederikshavn (3-5-0 in the last 8 starts).
- 4-1-0 away for Frederikshavn this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HER) | 1.45 | 1.45 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.35 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FRE) | 4.35 | 4.35 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap HER | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Herning Blue Fox |
17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 |
| 2 | Frederikshavn |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 3 |  Esbjerg |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 |
| 4 |  Sonderjyske Ishockey |
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 |
| 5 |  Odense Bulldogs |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 |
| 6 | Herlev |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 7 |  Rungsted |
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 |
| 8 |  Rodovre Mighty Bulls |
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 |
| 9 |  Aalborg |
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Herlev host Frederikshavn in the Metal Ligaen on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.