Herlev vs Herning Blue Fox prediction
Chance to win · 14% and 71% in regulation
Elmose C.Started4-4-2
Fecers J.StartedSV 87.6% · GAA 4.00 · 6-3-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Full game
- 1X2LostHerningodds down 1.57Confidence 71%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostHerning -1.5odds down 1.88Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHerningodds down 1.36Confidence 80%
- Double chanceWonHerning or drawodds down 1.21Confidence 85%
- Banker of the day: Draw no betPushHerningodds down 1.31Confidence 94%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHerningodds down 2.05Confidence 52%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.83Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Herlev 1–4
Herning Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–211%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (7%), 2-5 (6%), 2-4 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonHerlev
Herning Blue Fox
Head-to-head
Herlev 0–5
Herning - Sep 29, 2026: Herning Blue Fox 6, Herlev 4.
- Apr 24, 2026: Herlev 3, Herning Blue Fox 6.
- Apr 21, 2026: Herning Blue Fox 4, Herlev 3.
- Apr 19, 2026: Herlev 0, Herning Blue Fox 3.
- Apr 17, 2026: Herning Blue Fox 3, Herlev 1.
Last five games
Herlev
3-2-0 - Loss, 3–5 at Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 23. Odds: Rodovre 3.40, Herlev 1.70.
- Loss, 2–6 at Odense Bulldogs, Oct 19. Odds: Odense 2.25, Herlev 2.25.
- Win, 3–2 against Frederikshavn, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Herlev 1.45, Frederikshavn 4.35.
- Win, 3–1 against Aalborg, Oct 12. Odds: Herlev 1.83, Aalborg 3.48.
- Win, 3–0 against Rungsted, Oct 10. Odds: Herlev 2.50, Rungsted 2.18.
Herning
5-0-0 - Win, 7–2 against Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 27. Odds: Herning 1.10, Rodovre 14.00.
- Win, 4–1 at Esbjerg, Oct 23. Odds: Esbjerg 3.80, Herning 1.57.
- Win, 3–1 at Aalborg, Oct 20. Odds: Aalborg 4.00, Herning 1.50.
- Win, 6–3 against Odense Bulldogs, Oct 16. Odds: Herning 1.30, Odense 7.51.
- Win, 4–3 against Fribourg, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Herning 5.40, Fribourg 1.41.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 05:12 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Thomsen H. assists: Schultz P. 0-1
- 08:54 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Larsen K. assists: Amorosa T. 0-2
2nd period2-1
- 02:45 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Larsen M. assists: Cibulskis O. 0-3
- 04:03 Goal Herlev: True O. assists: Goransson I. 1-3
- 19:08 Goal Herlev: Goransson I. assists: Ingemann Larsen M., Karlstrom D. 2-3
3rd period2-1
- 01:50 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Toivola A. assists: Cibulskis O. 2-4
- 03:11 Goal Herlev: Ask I. assists: Asperup M. 3-4
- 05:41 Goal PPG Herlev: Holm-Pedersen S. assists: Asperup M. 4-4
Overtime1-0
- 04:35 Goal Herlev: Asperup M. assists: True O. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Herning Blue Fox coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Herning Blue Fox dropped from 1.33 to 1.23 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Herlev, 2 for Herning Blue Fox.
- 6-0-0 away for Herning Blue Fox this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Herning Blue Fox.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HER) | 4.50 | 5.25 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (HBF) | 1.50 | 1.39 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HER | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Herning Blue Fox |
17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 |
| 2 |  Frederikshavn |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 3 |  Esbjerg |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 |
| 4 |  Sonderjyske Ishockey |
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 |
| 5 |  Odense Bulldogs |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 |
| 6 | Herlev |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 7 |  Rungsted |
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 |
| 8 |  Rodovre Mighty Bulls |
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 |
| 9 |  Aalborg |
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Herlev host Herning Blue Fox in the Metal Ligaen on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.