Hermes vs Pyry prediction
Chance to win · 50% and 28% in regulation
Saarinen K.StartedSV 90.6% · GAA 2.33 · 2-3-1
Makela A.StartedSV 86.8% · GAA 3.20 · 3-6-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostHermesodds down 1.79Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonHermes +0.5odds down 1.30Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHermesodds down 1.48Confidence 63%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonHermes or drawodds down 1.27Confidence 72%
- Draw no betPushHermesodds down 1.44Confidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.05Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHermesodds down 2.24Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.64Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Hermes 4–1
Pyry Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 5-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHermes
Pyry
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Hermes 4–1
Pyry - Sep 26, 2026: Hermes 5, Pyry 2.
- Jan 31, 2026: Pyry 3, Hermes 4.
- Jan 23, 2026: Hermes 5, Pyry 0.
- Jan 2, 2026: Hermes 6, Pyry 5, after a shootout.
- Nov 29, 2025: Pyry 5, Hermes 4.
Last five games
Hermes
1-1-3 - Win, 3–2 at KeuPa, Oct 16. Odds: KeuPa 2.61, Hermes 2.19.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at TUTO, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at K-Vantaa, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: K-Vantaa 1.88, Hermes 3.20.
- Loss, 1–2 against K-Vantaa, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Kiekko-Pojat, after a shootout, Oct 2.
Pyry
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–6 at RoKi, Oct 16. Odds: RoKi 1.65, Pyry 3.99.
- Loss, 0–2 at Kettera, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–5 against IPK, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–1 against Kettera, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–6 at TUTO, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 11:47 Goal Hermes: Hult O. assists: Vahatalo J., Ekman T. 1-0
2nd period0-2
- 04:25 Goal Pyry: Virolainen J. assists: Selin K., Hietanen J. 1-1
- 10:52 Goal PPG Pyry: Virolainen J. assists: Bilgili S., Hietanen J. 1-2
3rd period2-1
- 03:43 Goal Hermes: Ahola A. assists: Pulli T., Rautiainen J. 2-2
- 11:38 Goal Pyry: Haataja V. assists: Virolainen J., Tiihonen M. 2-3
- 19:59 Goal PPG Hermes: Maki E. assists: Ahola A., Hult O. 3-3
Overtime0-1
- 01:39 Goal Pyry: Tiihonen M. assists: Virolainen J., Karvonen J. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Hermes and Pyry played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Pyry coming into this game.
- 0-5-1 away for Pyry this season.
- In goal: Saarinen K. for Hermes (2-3-1 in the last 6 starts), Makela A. for Pyry (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Hermes 0.0, Pyry −1.0 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HER) | 1.86 | 1.73 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.60 | 4.60 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PYR) | 3.10 | 3.51 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap HER | −0.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 |  Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 | Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 | Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hermes host Pyry in the Mestis on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.