Hermes vs RoKi prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 43% in regulation
Saarinen K.StartedSV 90.1% · GAA 2.43 · 2-3-2
Parviainen O.StartedSV 91.5% · GAA 2.30 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostRoKiodds down 2.45Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.56Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonRoKi +1.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostRoKiodds down 1.92Confidence 56%
- Double chanceLostRoKi or drawodds up 1.53Confidence 68%
- Draw no betLostRoKiodds up 1.88Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostRoKi2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.75Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Hermes 1–4
RoKi Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-4 (4%), 1-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHermes
RoKi
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Hermes 2–3
RoKi - Sep 12, 2026: RoKi 5, Hermes 0.
- Feb 21, 2026: Hermes 2, RoKi 1.
- Feb 19, 2026: RoKi 2, Hermes 5.
- Dec 28, 2025: Hermes 1, RoKi 4.
- Dec 27, 2025: RoKi 4, Hermes 2.
Last five games
Hermes
1-1-3 - Loss, 2–4 against KeuPa, Oct 21. Odds: Hermes 1.65, KeuPa 3.70.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Pyry, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Hermes 1.73, Pyry 3.51.
- Win, 3–2 at KeuPa, Oct 16. Odds: KeuPa 2.61, Hermes 2.19.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at TUTO, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at K-Vantaa, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: K-Vantaa 1.88, Hermes 3.20.
RoKi
3-2-0 - Loss, 4–5 against IPK, Oct 21. Odds: RoKi 2.45, IPK 2.25.
- Win, 6–2 against Pyry, Oct 16. Odds: RoKi 1.65, Pyry 3.99.
- Loss, 2–5 at Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 10.
- Win, 1–0 at Kettera, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Kettera 2.14, RoKi 2.75.
- Win, 4–3 against Kiekko-Pojat, after a shootout, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 03:33 Goal PPG Hermes: Pennanen A. assists: Vahatalo J., Maki E. 1-0
2nd period0-2
- 05:57 Goal PPG RoKi: Mikkola M. assists: Alanko T., Orn T. 1-1
- 08:58 Goal SHG RoKi: Orn T. 1-2
3rd period3-1
- 00:47 Goal Hermes: Pennanen A. assists: Maki E., Rautiainen J. 2-2
- 11:45 Goal Hermes: Niinisto J. assists: Maki E., Heinonen O. 3-2
- 13:44 Goal Hermes: Pennanen A. assists: Rautiainen J., Pulli T. 4-2
- 18:06 Goal PPG RoKi: Savolainen V. assists: Laakso E., Siira L. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Saarinen K. for Hermes (2-3-2 in the last 7 starts), Parviainen O. for RoKi (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for RoKi.
- −2.3 goals away — RoKi averaged 4.5 at home and 2.2 away this season.
- 1-1-3 in the last five for Hermes.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HER) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.15 | 4.15 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ROK) | 2.40 | 2.40 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap HER | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 |  Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 | RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 | Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hermes host RoKi in the Mestis on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.