Herning Blue Fox vs Fribourg prediction
Chance to win · 21% and 61% in regulation
Sorensen G.StartedSV 93.9% · GAA 2.00 · 5-4-1
Galley L.StartedSV 90.8% · GAA 2.50 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostFribourgodds down 1.39Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.32Confidence 69%
- HandicapWonHerning +2.5odds up 1.57Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostFribourg1.20Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonFribourg or drawodds down 1.18Confidence 67%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betPushFribourgodds down 1.25Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostFribourgodds up 1.88Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the teams play in different competitions; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Herning 2–4
Fribourg Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min3–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–110%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (5%), 1-3 (5%), 2-3 (4%)
The two teams play in different competitions, so this projection leans on less.
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 7+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHerning Blue Fox
Fribourg
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
Herning
4-1-0 - Win, 6–0 at Frederikshavn, Oct 9. Odds: Frederikshavn 4.60, Herning 1.44.
- Loss, 0–3 at Kolner, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–1 at Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 2.
- Win, 6–4 against Herlev, Sep 29.
- Win, 7–0 against Frederikshavn, Sep 27.
Fribourg
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 4–5 at Zurich, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Zurich 1.83, Fribourg 3.45.
- Win, 7–2 against Ajoie, Oct 8.
- Win, 6–1 against Nitra, Oct 6.
- Loss, 1–2 against Ambri-Piotta, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–1 at EHC Kloten, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 02:44 2 min Herning Blue Fox: Przemieslo L. B. Interference
- 09:27 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Kristensen E. assists: Schultz P. 1-0
- 19:59 Goal Fribourg: Rathgeb Y. assists: Kapla M., Richard A. 1-1
2nd period2-1
- 06:57 2 min Fribourg: — Too many men on the ice
- 11:37 Goal Fribourg: Nicolet K. assists: Marchon N. 1-2
- 13:56 2 min Fribourg: Rathgeb Y. High sticking
- 17:30 Goal PPG Herning Blue Fox: Bau Hansen M. assists: Kristensen E. 2-2
- 17:49 Goal PPG Herning Blue Fox: Bau Hansen M. assists: Kristensen E. 3-2
3rd period0-1
- 03:13 2 min Herning Blue Fox: Larsen K. Slashing
- 04:16 Goal PPG Fribourg: Richard A. assists: Kapla M., Borgstrom H. 3-3
- 11:34 2 min Fribourg: Rathgeb Y. Holding
- 18:58 2 min Herning Blue Fox: Eskildsen M. Cross checking
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Dmytriw J.
✗missed
Richard A.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Kiljunen O.
✗missed
Schild T.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Bau Hansen M.
✗missed
Borgstrom H.
✗missed
-
Round 4
O'Neil K.
✓scored
Dorthe J.
✗missed
-
Round 5
—
Streule M.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Sorensen G. for Herning Blue Fox (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Galley L. for Fribourg (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.7 per game — Herning Blue Fox −0.3, Fribourg +1.4 over their recent games.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Herning Blue Fox.
- 22nd vs 11th in the Champions Hockey League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HBF) | 5.64 | 5.40 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.45 | 5.36 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (FRI) | 1.39 | 1.41 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap HBF | +1.5 | +2.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Champions Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plzen |
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1.500 | 24 | 9 | +15 |
| 2 |  Skelleftea |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1.250 | 24 | 12 | +12 |
| 3 |  Pardubice |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1.167 | 22 | 9 | +13 |
| 4 |  Kolner |
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1.400 | 21 | 9 | +12 |
| 5 |  Frolunda |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1.000 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 6 |  Adler Mannheim |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | .917 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 7 |  Tappara |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | .917 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 8 |  Vaxjo |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .833 | 16 | 11 | +5 |
| 9 |  SaiPa |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1.000 | 16 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 |  KooKoo |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | .833 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 | Fribourg |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 18 | 12 | +6 |
| 12 |  Rogle |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | .750 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 |  Servette |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 |  Eisbaren Berlin |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .900 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 15 |  Davos |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | .800 | 19 | 15 | +4 |
| 16 |  Nitra |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .667 | 15 | 19 | −4 |
| 17 |  Liberec |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .700 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 |  Storhamar |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .600 | 11 | 13 | −2 |
| 19 |  Bordeaux |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | .333 | 16 | 35 | −19 |
| 20 |  Salzburg |
6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 13 | 24 | −11 |
| 21 |  Klagenfurt |
5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 8 | 14 | −6 |
| 22 | Herning Blue Fox |
5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | .100 | 6 | 19 | −13 |
| 23 |  Tychy |
6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | .083 | 10 | 24 | −14 |
| 24 |  Graz99ers |
5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 8 | 21 | −13 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Herning Blue Fox host Fribourg in the Champions Hockey League on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.