Hershey Bears vs Belleville Senators prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonHersheyodds down 2.20Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonBelleville +3.5Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHersheyodds down 1.76Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonHershey or drawodds down 1.45Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonHersheyodds down 1.74Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostHersheyodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.78Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Hershey 4–1
Belleville Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHershey Bears
Belleville Senators
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Hershey 1–4
Belleville - Mar 15, 2026: Hershey Bears 2, Belleville Senators 5.
- Mar 14, 2026: Hershey Bears 3, Belleville Senators 6.
- Feb 16, 2026: Belleville Senators 3, Hershey Bears 1.
- Feb 14, 2026: Belleville Senators 3, Hershey Bears 6.
- Mar 5, 2025: Hershey Bears 2, Belleville Senators 6.
Last five games
Hershey
4-1-0 - Loss, 1–6 against Providence Bruins, Oct 18. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Providence 2.25.
- Win, 5–3 against Providence Bruins, Oct 17. Odds: Hershey 2.35, Providence 2.22.
- Win, 6–1 against Texas Stars, Oct 11. Odds: Hershey 2.63, Texas 2.20.
- Win, 2–1 against Texas Stars, Oct 10. Odds: Hershey 2.95, Texas 1.92.
- Win, 3–2 against Charlotte Checkers, Oct 4.
Belleville
2-1-2 - Win, 7–3 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 23. Odds: W-B/Scranton 2.05, Belleville 2.70.
- Win, 4–2 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 18. Odds: Toronto 2.00, Belleville 2.62.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Toronto Marlies, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Belleville 2.62, Toronto 2.14.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Laval Rocket, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Belleville 2.42, Laval 2.15.
- Loss, 2–4 against Utica Comets, Oct 11. Odds: Belleville 2.03, Utica 2.94.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 04:49 Goal PPG Belleville Senators: Daoust P. assists: Tomasino P., Kyrou C. 0-1
2nd period1-1
- 06:35 Goal Belleville Senators: Tomasino P. assists: Bowers S. 0-2
- 14:02 Goal Hershey Bears: Smallman S. assists: Niederbach T., Chesley R. 1-2
3rd period4-0
- 05:19 Goal Hershey Bears: Anderson J. assists: Holl J. 2-2
- 08:00 Goal Hershey Bears: Lakovic L. 3-2
- 18:01 Goal ENG Hershey Bears: Anderson J. assists: Cruikshank G., Chesley R. 4-2
- 19:52 Goal Hershey Bears: Cruikshank G. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Belleville Senators, who played yesterday.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Belleville Senators.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Hershey Bears.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HER) | 2.10 | 2.10 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BEL) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap HER | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 | Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Laval Rocket |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 |
| 2 |  Utica Comets |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 |
| 3 |  Toronto Marlies |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 |
| 4 | Belleville Senators |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 5 |  Rochester Americans |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 |
| 6 |  Syracuse Crunch |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 |
| 7 |  Cleveland Monsters |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hershey Bears host Belleville Senators in the AHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.