Hershey Bears vs Hamilton Hammers Prediction & Picks

AHL Wednesday, November 11, 2026Wed · Nov 11

HomeHershey Bears8-5-03rd in AtlanticWLWLL

19:00ET Upcoming 1.793.30 USAUSA

64%Hershey Bears win · 53% in regulationHER Overtime or shootout · 21%OT / SO 21% 36%Hamilton Hammers win · 26% in regulationHAM

Chance to win · 53% and 26% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance

Hershey or draw 1.27

Confidence74%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2Hersheyodds down 1.76Confidence 54%
Over/UnderO4.5odds up 1.36Confidence 71%
HandicapHamilton +1.5odds up 1.55Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)Hersheyodds down 1.45Confidence 65%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceHershey or drawodds down 1.27Confidence 74%
Draw no betHersheyodds down 1.45Confidence 69%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.09Confidence 88%

1st period

1st period 1X2Hersheyodds down 2.28Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds up 1.79Confidence 55%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Hershey 32

Hamilton

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 5 Line 5.5 · Under

Draw after 60 minDraw 21%

HER to winTo win 64% 53% in regulation

Score details

Correct score3–24%chance
1st period correct score2–09%chance
Highest scoring period3rd period30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-5-04-9-2

Home / road split6-3-02-4-1

StreakW1W1

Rest3 days3 days

Goals for3.22.7

Goals against2.94.1

In the standings3rd—

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.5−1.3

Goals for3.52.6

Goals against3.03.9

Shots on goal32.721.7

Shots against23.030.2

Shooting %10.7%12.0%

Save %87.8%87.7%

Power-play %15.4%10.3%

Penalty kill %91.7%86.4%

Penalty minutes17.016.6

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Hershey 2-3-0

Win, 6–1 at Springfield Thunderbirds, Nov 7. Odds: Springfield 2.65, Hershey 2.10.
Loss, 2–4 at Springfield Thunderbirds, Nov 6. Odds: Springfield 2.50, Hershey 2.20.
Win, 4–1 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Nov 4. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Hartford 2.20.
Loss, 0–5 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Nov 1. Odds: Hershey 2.30, W-B/Scranton 2.40.
Loss, 3–5 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 30. Odds: Toronto 2.50, Hershey 2.20.

Hamilton 1-3-1

Win, 6–3 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Nov 7. Odds: Hamilton 2.40, Lehigh Valley 2.25.
Loss, 4–5 against Providence Bruins, Nov 6. Odds: Hamilton 2.90, Providence 1.96.
Loss, 1–5 against Toronto Marlies, Nov 4. Odds: Hamilton 2.30, Toronto 2.40.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Utica Comets, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Utica 2.05, Hamilton 2.75.
Loss, 0–7 at Syracuse Crunch, Oct 30. Odds: Syracuse 2.20, Hamilton 2.55.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (HER)	1.79	1.79	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.60	4.60	No change
1X2: 2 (HAM)	3.30	3.30	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap HER	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

AHL standings

Regular Season · Atlantic Division

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Charlotte Checkers	15	9	5	1	19	.633	46	42	+4
2	Hartford Wolf Pack	17	8	8	1	17	.500	44	49	−5
3	Hershey Bears	13	8	5	0	16	.615	42	38	+4
4	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton	13	7	5	1	15	.577	47	37	+10
5	Providence Bruins	14	6	8	0	12	.429	47	43	+4
6	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	13	5	7	1	11	.423	37	55	−18
7	Springfield Thunderbirds	13	4	6	3	11	.423	32	46	−14

Playoffs

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Hershey Bears host Hamilton Hammers in the AHL on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Hershey Bears vs Hamilton Hammers prediction