Hershey Bears vs Hartford Wolf Pack prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonHersheyodds down 2.57Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.45Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonHershey +1.5odds down 1.37Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHersheyodds down 1.98Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonHershey or drawodds down 1.58Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonHersheyodds down 2.00Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHersheyodds down 2.85Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.85Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Hershey 4–1
Hartford Score details
- Correct scoreWon4–1After 60 min4–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHershey Bears
Hartford Wolf Pack
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Hershey 2–3
Hartford - Apr 4, 2026: Hartford Wolf Pack 1, Hershey Bears 8.
- Mar 7, 2026: Hartford Wolf Pack 5, Hershey Bears 2.
- Jan 20, 2026: Hershey Bears 4, Hartford Wolf Pack 5, after overtime.
- Jan 14, 2026: Hershey Bears 2, Hartford Wolf Pack 3, after overtime.
- Apr 6, 2025: Hershey Bears 2, Hartford Wolf Pack 1.
Last five games
Hershey
2-3-0 - Loss, 0–5 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Nov 1. Odds: Hershey 2.30, W-B/Scranton 2.40.
- Loss, 3–5 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 30. Odds: Toronto 2.50, Hershey 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Rochester Americans, Oct 28. Odds: Rochester 2.15, Hershey 2.50.
- Win, 5–2 against Belleville Senators, Oct 24. Odds: Hershey 2.10, Belleville 2.60.
- Loss, 1–6 against Providence Bruins, Oct 18. Odds: Hershey 2.50, Providence 2.25.
Hartford
3-1-1 - Win, 4–2 at Springfield Thunderbirds, Nov 1. Odds: Springfield 2.45, Hartford 2.25.
- Win, 4–1 at Belleville Senators, Oct 30. Odds: Belleville 2.30, Hartford 2.35.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Hamilton Hammers, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Hamilton 2.30, Hartford 2.40.
- Loss, 2–3 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 24. Odds: W-B/Scranton 2.10, Hartford 2.65.
- Win, 2–0 against Providence Bruins, Oct 23. Odds: Hartford 2.25, Providence 2.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 05:35 Goal Hershey Bears: Dunne J. assists: Cristall A., Holl J. 1-0
2nd period2-0
- 03:22 Goal PPG Hershey Bears: Belpedio L. assists: Holl J., Dunne J. 2-0
- 13:25 Goal PPG Hershey Bears: Suzdalev A. assists: Trineyev B., Belpedio L. 3-0
3rd period1-1
- 17:22 Goal Hartford Wolf Pack: Greentree L. assists: Raddysh T., Del Gaizo M. 3-1
- 19:32 Goal ENG Hershey Bears: Sikora P. assists: Mateiko E., Trineyev B. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Hershey Bears dropped from 2.00 to 1.78 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Hartford Wolf Pack.
- Save % gap: Hershey Bears 88.0%, Hartford Wolf Pack 91.4% over their recent games.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 3rd vs 2nd in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HER) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HWP) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HER | +1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 | Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 | Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hershey Bears host Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.