Hershey Bears vs Providence Bruins prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonHersheyodds up 2.27Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.53Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostProvidence +1.51.29Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHersheyodds up 1.83Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonHershey or drawodds up 1.47Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonHersheyodds up 1.87Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.67Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.29Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Hershey 3–2
Providence Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHershey Bears
Providence Bruins
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Hershey 1–4
Providence - Oct 18, 2026: Hershey Bears 1, Providence Bruins 6.
- Mar 8, 2026: Providence Bruins 5, Hershey Bears 4.
- Dec 12, 2025: Hershey Bears 1, Providence Bruins 4.
- Dec 10, 2025: Hershey Bears 1, Providence Bruins 3.
- Nov 1, 2025: Providence Bruins 0, Hershey Bears 2.
Last five games
Hershey
3-2-0 - Win, 6–1 against Texas Stars, Oct 11. Odds: Hershey 2.63, Texas 2.20.
- Win, 2–1 against Texas Stars, Oct 10. Odds: Hershey 2.95, Texas 1.92.
- Win, 3–2 against Charlotte Checkers, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–5 against Charlotte Checkers, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–4 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, May 7.
Providence
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–6 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 11. Odds: Providence 2.69, W-B/Scranton 2.20.
- Win, 6–2 against Charlotte Checkers, Oct 10.
- Loss, 0–2 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 9. Odds: Providence 2.75, Hartford 2.12.
- Loss, 0–2 against Springfield Thunderbirds, Oct 4.
- Loss, 1–2 against Utica Comets, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 05:12 Goal PPG Hershey Bears: Lakovic L. assists: Smallman S., Belpedio L. 1-0
- 19:47 Goal Hershey Bears: Mateiko E. assists: Allen C., Cruikshank G. 2-0
2nd period2-2
- 06:33 Goal Providence Bruins: Eyssimont M. assists: Locmelis D. 2-1
- 06:50 Goal Providence Bruins: Jokiharju H. 2-2
- 08' Goal Hershey Bears: Allen C. 3-2
- 17:44 Goal Hershey Bears: Dunne J. assists: Trineyev B., Allen C. 4-2
3rd period1-1
- 08:54 Goal Hershey Bears: Cruikshank G. assists: Anderson J. 5-2
- 13:46 Goal Providence Bruins: Jokiharju H. assists: Eyssimont M., Locmelis D. 5-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Hershey Bears coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — Hershey Bears +0.4, Providence Bruins −0.9 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Providence Bruins.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Providence Bruins.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HER) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.60 | 3.60 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PRO) | 2.22 | 2.22 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HER | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 | Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 | Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hershey Bears host Providence Bruins in the AHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.