Hershey Bears vs Texas Stars prediction
Chance to win · 40% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonHershey2.90Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.42Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonHershey +2.51.25Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHershey2.20Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonHershey or draw1.66Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonHershey2.27Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHershey3.10Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.85Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Hershey 4–1
Texas Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–06%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 5-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formHershey Bears
Texas Stars
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Hershey 1–0
Texas - Oct 10, 2026: Hershey Bears 2, Texas Stars 1.
Last five games
Hershey
2-2-1 - Win, 2–1 against Texas Stars, Oct 10. Odds: Hershey 2.95, Texas 1.92.
- Win, 3–2 against Charlotte Checkers, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–5 against Charlotte Checkers, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–4 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, May 7.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, after overtime, May 5.
Texas
2-2-1 - Loss, 1–2 at Hershey Bears, Oct 10. Odds: Hershey 2.95, Texas 1.92.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Iowa Wild, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–3 against Iowa Wild, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–6 at Chicago Wolves, May 5.
- Win, 5–4 at Chicago Wolves, after overtime, May 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 05:22 Goal SHG Hershey Bears: Trineyev B. assists: Smallman S. 1-0
- 13:30 Goal Hershey Bears: Brodzinski J. assists: MacDonald J. 2-0
- 14:18 Goal Hershey Bears: Brodzinski J. assists: Cristall A. 3-0
2nd period0-1
- 12:50 Goal Texas Stars: Anderson J. assists: Rickwood E. 3-1
3rd period3-0
- 04:16 Goal Hershey Bears: Smallman S. assists: Cristall A. 4-1
- 09:47 Goal PPG Hershey Bears: Trineyev B. assists: Cristall A., Dunne J. 5-1
- 15:53 Goal Hershey Bears: Niederbach T. assists: Lakovic L. 6-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Hershey Bears and Texas Stars played yesterday.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HER) | 2.63 | 2.63 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.15 | 4.15 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TEX) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap HER | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 | Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 |  Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Grand Rapids Griffins |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 |
| 2 |  Manitoba Moose |
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 |
| 3 |  Milwaukee Admirals |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| 4 |  Iowa Wild |
16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 5 |  Chicago Wolves |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 |
| 6 |  Rockford IceHogs |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 |
| 7 | Texas Stars |
14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Hershey Bears host Texas Stars in the AHL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.