HV 71 vs Frölunda prediction
Chance to win · 29% and 50% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonFrolundaodds down 2.11Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.31Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostHV71 +1.5odds up 1.39Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFrolundaodds down 1.66Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonFrolunda or drawodds down 1.38Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonFrolundaodds down 1.63Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostFrolundaodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds down 1.23Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period2–218%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 21, 2026: HV 71 1, Frölunda 5.
- Dec 18, 2025: Frölunda 3, HV 71 2, after a shootout.
- Oct 23, 2025: Frölunda 2, HV 71 1.
- Sep 27, 2025: HV 71 1, Frölunda 2.
- Feb 20, 2025: HV 71 1, Frölunda 2.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Linkoping, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: HV71 1.98, Linkoping 2.72.
- Loss, 2–5 at Luleå, Oct 17. Odds: Lulea 1.78, HV71 3.10.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Timrå, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Timra 2.31, HV71 2.72.
- Win, 3–2 against Brynas, Oct 10. Odds: HV71 3.30, Brynas 1.91.
- Loss, 3–4 at Rögle, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–4 at Rögle, Oct 22. Odds: Rogle 2.15, Frolunda 3.00.
- Win, 6–2 against Djurgarden, Oct 20. Odds: Frolunda 1.52, Djurgarden 4.05.
- Win, 3–2 against Skellefteå, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Frolunda 2.37, Skelleftea 2.27.
- Win, 3–0 at Linkoping, Oct 15. Odds: Linkoping 2.64, Frolunda 2.44.
- Win, 11–1 against Bordeaux, Oct 13. Odds: Frolunda 1.09, Bordeaux 19.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 05:11 Goal HV 71: Borgman A. assists: Rousek L., Regenda P. 1-0
- 06:17 2 min Frölunda: Heens I. Holding
- 08:02 2 min HV 71: Woods R. Tripping
- 11:35 Goal Frölunda: Dower Nilsson L. assists: Klyvoe M., Milosevic S. 1-1
- 12:46 2 min Frölunda: Lindholm M. Tripping
- 13:36 Goal PPG HV 71: Mysak J. assists: Pasic N., Hardman M. 2-1
- 18:08 Goal Frölunda: Lindholm M. assists: Hogberg L., Hasa F. 2-2
2nd period0-4
- 01:13 Goal Frölunda: Thorell E. assists: Hogberg L., Peterson J. 2-3
- 03:17 2 min Frölunda: Hogberg L. Interference
- 09:04 2 min Frölunda: Westergard M. Hooking
- 12:13 Goal Frölunda: Dower Nilsson L. assists: Hasa N. 2-4
- 12:51 2 min HV 71: Ang J. Holding the stick
- 13:58 Goal PPG Frölunda: Peterson J. assists: Dower Nilsson L., Clarke G. 2-5
- 13:58 Goalie change HV 71: Sandstrom F. replaces Liv H.
- 18:07 Goal Frölunda: Friberg M. assists: Westergard M., Lasu N. 2-6
3rd period0-0
- 10:14 2 min Frölunda: Clarke G. Roughing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for HV 71 coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for HV 71, 1 for Frölunda.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Frölunda.
- In goal: Liv H. for HV 71 (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Normann T. for Frölunda (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.0 per game — HV 71 −0.8, Frölunda +1.2 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (71X) | 2.75 | 3.30 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (FRO) | 2.20 | 1.91 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap 71X | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
HV 71 host Frölunda in the SHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.