IF Bjorkloven vs Rögle prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 44% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonRogleodds down 1.85Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.51.31Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonBjorkloven +1.5odds up 1.50Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonRogleodds down 1.50Confidence 55%
- Double chanceWonRogle or drawodds down 1.29Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonRogleodds down 1.46Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDraw2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.19Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–022%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 against Frölunda, Oct 10. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.95, Frölunda 1.75.
- Loss, 1–4 at Brynas, Oct 8.
- Win, 3–2 at Linkoping, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–2 against Vaxjo, Oct 1.
- Win, 4–2 against HV 71, Sep 29.
- Loss, 1–5 at Nitra, Oct 13. Odds: Nitra 2.72, Rogle 2.06.
- Loss, 2–3 at Skellefteå, Oct 10. Odds: Skellefteå 1.87, Rögle 3.40.
- Win, 4–3 against HV 71, Oct 8.
- Win, 3–2 against Davos, Oct 6.
- Loss, 2–3 at Vaxjo, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 08:51 2 min Rögle: — Delay of game
2nd period1-2
- 04:10 Goal Rögle: Johansson F. assists: de Haan C., Kellman J. 0-1
- 04:37 2 min Rögle: de Haan C. Cross checking
- 05:26 Goal PPG IF Bjorkloven: Kovacs R. assists: Ottosson A., Forsberg F. 1-1
- 16:39 Goal Rögle: Zether S. assists: Jellvik O., Friedman M. 1-2
- 17:08 2 min IF Bjorkloven: Mustonen J. Holding
3rd period0-0
- 12:35 2 min IF Bjorkloven: Didier J. Tripping
- 18:23 2 min Rögle: de Haan C. Cross checking
- 18:23 2 min IF Bjorkloven: Forsberg F. Diving
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Rögle dropped from 1.64 to 1.46 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for IF Bjorkloven, 1 for Rögle.
- In goal: Tuohimaa F. for IF Bjorkloven (10-0-0 in the last 10 starts), Holm A. for Rögle (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
- −1.5 goals away — Rögle averaged 3.3 at home and 1.8 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for IF Bjorkloven.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BJO) | 3.81 | 3.78 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.15 | 4.13 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (ROG) | 1.79 | 1.80 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap BJO | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
IF Bjorkloven host Rögle in the SHL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.