IFK Helsinki U20 vs Assat U20 prediction
Chance to win · 63% and 18% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonHIFK U20odds down 1.66Confidence 65%
- Over/UnderWonO51.62Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonHIFK U20 -1.5odds down 2.10Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonHIFK U20odds down 1.41Confidence 76%
- Double chanceWonHIFK U20 or drawodds down 1.21Confidence 82%
- Draw no betWonHIFK U20Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHIFK U20odds down 2.18Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–17%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 3, 2026: Assat U20 2, IFK Helsinki U20 1, after a shootout.
- Jan 10, 2026: IFK Helsinki U20 1, Assat U20 7.
- Nov 15, 2025: Assat U20 4, IFK Helsinki U20 0.
- Oct 11, 2025: Assat U20 7, IFK Helsinki U20 1.
- Sep 20, 2025: IFK Helsinki U20 4, Assat U20 3.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 against Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 11.
- Loss, 3–6 against Jokerit U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–0 against SaiPa U20, Oct 9. Odds: HIFK U20 1.51, SaiPa U20 4.60.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Assat U20, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–2 at Vaasan Sport U20, Oct 2.
- Loss, 3–6 at Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 15. Odds: K-Espoo U20 1.58, Assat U20 4.00.
- Loss, 3–6 against Tappara U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 at Vaasan Sport U20, Oct 9. Odds: Sport U20 2.40, Assat U20 2.25.
- Win, 2–1 against IFK Helsinki U20, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–4 at Tappara U20, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 01:25 Goal IFK Helsinki U20: Uronen A. assists: Karjalahti F., Uronen E. 1-0
- 19:50 Goal IFK Helsinki U20: Uronen E. assists: Tiainen H., Jalasti B. 2-0
2nd period3-0
- 02:52 Goal IFK Helsinki U20: Carlsson R. 3-0
- 10:05 Goal IFK Helsinki U20: Rantaniitty O. assists: Parkkali J., Puolanne A. 4-0
- 19:22 Goal PPG IFK Helsinki U20: Bhowmik E. assists: Uronen E., Karjalahti F. 5-0
3rd period1-1
- 09:33 Goal PPG IFK Helsinki U20: Bhowmik E. assists: Rantaniitty O., Savolainen V. 6-0
- 12:15 Goal PPG Assat U20: Kovalainen E. assists: Paloluoma V., Kantola L. 6-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Assat U20, who played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on IFK Helsinki U20 dropped from 1.41 to 1.28 since they were first published.
- 2-5-1 away for Assat U20 this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Assat U20.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (IHU) | 1.70 | 1.70 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.35 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ASS) | 3.30 | 3.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap IHU | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
IFK Helsinki U20 host Assat U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.