IFK Helsinki vs Ilves Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.29

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostIlvesodds up 2.28Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.29Confidence 72%
HandicapWonHIFK +1.5odds up 1.28Confidence 68%
Winner (incl. OT)LostIlvesodds up 1.78Confidence 55%
Double chanceLostIlves or drawodds down 1.47Confidence 64%
Draw no betLostIlvesodds down 1.88Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.40Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.18Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 4% since they opened; the odds drifted 9% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

HIFK 23

Ilves

Final 2–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

ILV to winTo win 54% HEL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–14%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–022%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-6-411-5-1

Home / road split3-2-26-4-0

StreakW2L1

Rest3 days3 days

Goals for2.92.8

Goals against3.22.1

In the standings11th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.3+0.1

Goals for3.02.5

Goals against2.72.4

Shots on goal23.726.4

Shots against25.821.7

Shooting %12.7%9.5%

Save %89.5%90.3%

Power-play %24.1%16.0%

Penalty kill %82.9%95.2%

Faceoff %50.4%49.0%

Penalty minutes13.24.2

Blocked shots7.511.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

HIFK 23

Ilves

Ilves won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.2 HEL 1.6 · ILV 2.6

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Jan 10, 2026: Ilves 6, IFK Helsinki 0.
Jan 9, 2026: IFK Helsinki 1, Ilves 0.
Oct 11, 2025: IFK Helsinki 6, Ilves 1.
Oct 10, 2025: Ilves 3, IFK Helsinki 0.
Jan 18, 2025: IFK Helsinki 1, Ilves 3.

Last five games

HIFK 2-1-2

Win, 6–3 at Hameenlinna, Oct 24. Odds: HPK 2.45, HIFK 2.35.
Win, 3–0 at Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 23. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 1.96, HIFK 3.00.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Lukko, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Lukko 1.62, HIFK 3.55.
Loss, 1–7 at SaiPa, Oct 17. Odds: SaiPa 1.83, HIFK 3.68.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against TPS Turku, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: HIFK 2.95, TPS 2.13.

Ilves 2-2-1

Overtime loss, 1–2 against Jukurit, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Ilves 1.56, Jukurit 4.50.
Win, 3–0 at Jukurit, Oct 23. Odds: Jukurit 3.10, Ilves 2.01.
Loss, 3–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.
Win, 4–3 against Jokerit, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Ilves 1.73, Jokerit 4.10.
Loss, 1–3 at Hameenlinna, Oct 16. Odds: HPK 3.90, Ilves 1.81.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

00:54 2 min IFK Helsinki: Makiaho D. Hooking
06:48 2 min IFK Helsinki: Pilo L. Holding
12:01 2 min Ilves: Utunen T. Slashing

2nd period0-1

00:37 Goal Ilves: Henman L. assists: Looke J., Haatanen A. 0-1

3rd period2-0

01:47 Goal IFK Helsinki: Somervuori J. 1-1
02:45 2 min Ilves: Henman L. Interference
07:57 Goal IFK Helsinki: Vanhatalo L. assists: Ranta S., Sinivuori L. 2-1
14:58 2 min IFK Helsinki: Ranta S. Delay of game
18:31 2 min IFK Helsinki: Nemecek D. Delay of game

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Alnefelt H. for IFK Helsinki (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Armalis M. for Ilves (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
The total moved down from 5.5 to 4.5 since it was first published.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ilves.
+1.5 goals at home — IFK Helsinki averaged 3.7 at home and 2.2 away this season.
−1.0 goals away — Ilves averaged 3.4 at home and 2.4 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (HEL)	2.55	2.55	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (ILV)	2.25	2.25	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	4.5	Line lowered
Handicap HEL	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

IFK Helsinki vs Ilves prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details