IFK Helsinki vs TPS Turku prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 36% in regulation
Glifford O.StartedSV 89.8% · GAA 2.50 · 3-6-1
Makiniemi E.StartedSV 89.6% · GAA 2.00 · 5-4-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostHIFKodds up 2.67Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.34Confidence 73%
- HandicapWonHIFK +1.5odds up 1.35Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostHIFKodds up 2.05Confidence 53%
- Double chanceWonHIFK or drawodds up 1.57Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushHIFKodds up 2.05Confidence 55%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.11Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.52Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.HIFK 4–1
TPS Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–022%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 0-0, 2-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formIFK Helsinki
TPS Turku
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
HIFK 2–3
TPS - Sep 5, 2026: TPS Turku 5, IFK Helsinki 1.
- Dec 20, 2025: TPS Turku 4, IFK Helsinki 3.
- Dec 19, 2025: IFK Helsinki 3, TPS Turku 4, after overtime.
- Nov 28, 2025: IFK Helsinki 3, TPS Turku 2.
- Sep 27, 2025: TPS Turku 1, IFK Helsinki 2.
Last five games
HIFK
2-2-1 - Win, 6–1 against KalPa, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Jokerit, after overtime, Oct 8.
- Win, 3–2 at Vaasan Sport, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–2 at Pelicans, Sep 26.
- Loss, 3–4 against JYP, Sep 25.
TPS
2-2-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Tappara, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–1 against JYP, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–4 at Kiekko-Espoo, Sep 30.
- Loss, 2–3 at Ilves, Sep 27.
- Win, 2–1 at Jokerit, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 13:10 2 min IFK Helsinki: Ahlroth J. Tripping
- 13:47 2 min TPS Turku: Binner A. Interference
- 15:33 2 min IFK Helsinki: Pakarinen I. Interference
- 17:58 Goal IFK Helsinki: Makiaho D. assists: Pakarinen I. 1-0
2nd period1-1
- 00:01 Goalie change TPS Turku: Ruusu M. replaces Makiniemi E.
- 00:31 2 min TPS Turku: Lindbohm P. Tripping
- 00:58 Goal PPG IFK Helsinki: Vanhatalo L. assists: Pakarinen I., Makiaho D. 2-0
- 12:53 2 min IFK Helsinki: Melart I. Tripping
- 15:00 2 min IFK Helsinki: Pilo L. Holding
- 15:28 Goal PPG TPS Turku: Paajanen O. assists: Savinainen V., Yliniemi S. 2-1
3rd period1-2
- 00:28 Goal TPS Turku: Pikkarainen K. assists: Munkki V., Maatta J. 2-2
- 09:28 2 min IFK Helsinki: Leppanen O. Tripping
- 10:01 Goal PPG TPS Turku: Wernblom L. assists: Bryggman L., Ikonen Jo. 2-3
- 14:03 Goal IFK Helsinki: Makiaho D. assists: Ranta S., Pakarinen I. 3-3
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout0-1
-
Round 1
Makiaho D.
✗missed
Pikkarainen K.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Ranta S.
✗missed
Wernblom L.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Pakarinen I.
✗missed
—
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-4-1 away for TPS Turku this season.
- In goal: Glifford O. for IFK Helsinki (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Makiniemi E. for TPS Turku (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for TPS Turku.
- +2.2 goals at home — IFK Helsinki averaged 3.8 at home and 1.6 away this season.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (HEL) | 3.00 | 2.95 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.93 | 3.95 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (TUR) | 2.11 | 2.13 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap HEL | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lukko |
19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 |
| 2 |  Ilves |
20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 |
| 3 |  Jukurit |
20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 |
| 4 |  JYP |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 |
| 5 |  Assat |
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 6 |  SaiPa |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 |
| 7 |  Karpat |
20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 8 | TPS Turku |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 |
| 9 |  Kiekko-Espoo |
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 |
| 10 |  Tappara |
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki |
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 |
| 12 |  KalPa |
18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 |
| 13 |  Pelicans |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 |
| 14 |  Hameenlinna |
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 |
| 15 |  Vaasan Sport |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 |
| 16 |  Jokerit |
18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 |
| 17 |  KooKoo |
20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
IFK Helsinki host TPS Turku in the Liiga on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.