Ilves U20 vs Hameenlinna U20 prediction
Chance to win · 33% and 47% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonHPK U20odds up 1.85Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.55Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostIlves U20 +1.5odds down 1.52Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHPK U20odds up 1.52Confidence 59%
- Double chanceWonHPK U20 or drawodds up 1.28Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonHPK U20Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHPK U20odds up 2.30Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.66Confidence 62%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Ilves U20 3–4
HPK U20 Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min2–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–38%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 5 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%), 5-6 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonIlves U20
Hameenlinna U20
Head-to-head
Ilves U20 4–1
HPK U20 - Sep 4, 2026: Hameenlinna U20 6, Ilves U20 0.
- Mar 30, 2026: Ilves U20 3, Hameenlinna U20 2, after overtime.
- Mar 28, 2026: Hameenlinna U20 4, Ilves U20 5, after overtime.
- Mar 26, 2026: Ilves U20 10, Hameenlinna U20 2.
- Oct 10, 2025: Ilves U20 5, Hameenlinna U20 1.
Last five games
Ilves U20
3-2-0 - Win, 6–2 at Tappara U20, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara U20 2.30, Ilves U20 2.35.
- Win, 5–2 against SaiPa U20, Oct 17. Odds: Ilves U20 1.58, SaiPa U20 3.75.
- Loss, 2–5 at Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 14. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.67, Ilves U20 3.45.
- Loss, 1–4 against Lukko U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 against Karpat U20, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves U20 1.71, Karpat U20 3.45.
HPK U20
2-2-1 - Loss, 4–8 against Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 21. Odds: HPK U20 1.83, K-Espoo U20 3.15.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lukko U20, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: HPK U20 1.62, Lukko U20 3.60.
- Loss, 1–3 against Karpat U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 7–4 against Jukurit U20, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–0 at Tappara U20, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-3
- 00:23 Goal Ilves U20: Liljeberg M. assists: Petaja K. 1-0
- 06:19 Goal Hameenlinna U20: Fagerstrom V. assists: Lappalainen M., Liski T. 1-1
- 07:22 Goal Ilves U20: Viita F. assists: Poikela M., Zwikel M. 2-1
- 08:28 Goal Hameenlinna U20: Makinen I. assists: Klima F., Ketonen A. 2-2
- 10:36 Goal Hameenlinna U20: Laamanen E. assists: Lappalainen M., Liski T. 2-3
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period0-1
- 08:43 Goal Hameenlinna U20: Viitaluoma V. assists: Lehtonen O., Huttunen R. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Hameenlinna U20 coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Ilves U20 dropped from 2.30 to 2.02 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Ilves U20.
- 7.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 11th vs 8th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ILV) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HAM) | 2.08 | 2.08 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap ILV | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Helsinki U20 |
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 2 |  Pelicans Lahti U20 |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 |
| 3 |  Karpat U20 |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 |
| 4 |  Jukurit U20 |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 |
| 5 |  Kiekko-Espoo U20 |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 |
| 6 |  Tappara U20 |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 |
| 7 |  Lukko U20 |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 8 | Hameenlinna U20 |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 |
| 9 |  TPS U20 |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 |
| 10 |  Jokerit U20 |
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 |
| 11 | Ilves U20 |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 |
| 12 |  KalPa U20 |
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 13 |  Vaasan Sport U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 |
| 14 |  SaiPa U20 |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 |
| 15 |  Jyvaskyla U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 16 |  Assat U20 |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 |
| 17 |  KooKoo U20 |
17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 |
| 18 |  RoKi U20 |
18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ilves U20 host Hameenlinna U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.