Ilves U20 vs SaiPa U20 prediction
Chance to win · 57% and 25% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonIlves U20odds up 1.44Confidence 59%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.51.33Confidence 73%
- HandicapLostSaiPa U20 +1.51.75Confidence 58%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonIlves U20odds up 1.26Confidence 69%
- Double chanceWonIlves U20 or drawodds up 1.13Confidence 76%
- Draw no betWonIlves U20Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostIlves U20odds up 1.89Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.50Confidence 67%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Ilves U20 4–3
SaiPa U20 Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min5–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (2%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonIlves U20
SaiPa U20
Head-to-head
Ilves U20 5–0
SaiPa U20 - Oct 31, 2026: SaiPa U20 3, Ilves U20 5.
- Feb 14, 2026: SaiPa U20 4, Ilves U20 9.
- Dec 13, 2025: Ilves U20 4, SaiPa U20 1.
- Feb 22, 2025: SaiPa U20 2, Ilves U20 6.
- Dec 20, 2024: Ilves U20 6, SaiPa U20 1.
Last five games
Ilves U20
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–5 at Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 14. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.67, Ilves U20 3.45.
- Loss, 1–4 against Lukko U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 against Karpat U20, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves U20 1.71, Karpat U20 3.45.
- Win, 3–2 at Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–1 at Assat U20, Sep 27.
SaiPa U20
2-2-1 - Win, 7–3 at Tappara U20, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara U20 1.42, SaiPa U20 4.65.
- Win, 5–1 at Jokerit U20, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–5 against Pelicans Lahti U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 0–5 at IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 9. Odds: HIFK U20 1.51, SaiPa U20 4.60.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against KalPa U20, after a shootout, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 12:43 Goal SaiPa U20: Inna A. assists: Heikkinen O., Nummi L. 0-1
2nd period3-1
- 00:24 Goal Ilves U20: Koponen A. assists: Melanen J., Kuitunen O. 1-1
- 11:35 Goal SHG SaiPa U20: Eloranta O. assists: Marik N. 1-2
- 12:09 Goal Ilves U20: Myllyniemi M. assists: Petaja K. 2-2
- 14:12 Goal Ilves U20: Myllyniemi M. assists: Poikela M., Nyberg J. 3-2
3rd period2-0
- 17:53 Goal PPG Ilves U20: Rinne R. assists: Myllyniemi M., Kuukasjarvi R. 4-2
- 19:59 Goal SHG Ilves U20: Tormakangas J. assists: Svenn A. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for SaiPa U20, who played yesterday.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Ilves U20.
- 8.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
- 11th vs 14th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ILV) | 1.45 | 1.58 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 4.50 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SAI) | 4.30 | 3.75 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 7 | Line raised |
| Handicap ILV | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Helsinki U20 |
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 2 |  Pelicans Lahti U20 |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 |
| 3 |  Karpat U20 |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 |
| 4 |  Jukurit U20 |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 |
| 5 |  Kiekko-Espoo U20 |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 |
| 6 |  Tappara U20 |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 |
| 7 |  Lukko U20 |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 8 |  Hameenlinna U20 |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 |
| 9 |  TPS U20 |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 |
| 10 |  Jokerit U20 |
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 |
| 11 | Ilves U20 |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 |
| 12 |  KalPa U20 |
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 13 |  Vaasan Sport U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 |
| 14 | SaiPa U20 |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 |
| 15 |  Jyvaskyla U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 16 |  Assat U20 |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 |
| 17 |  KooKoo U20 |
17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 |
| 18 |  RoKi U20 |
18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ilves U20 host SaiPa U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.