Ilves vs Jokerit Prediction & Picks

Banker of the dayBanker Draw no bet Push

Ilves 1.31

Confidence93%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%

Full game

1X2LostIlvesodds up 1.67Confidence 68%
Over/UnderLostU5.5odds up 1.62Confidence 60%
HandicapLostIlves -1.5odds up 2.10Confidence 56%
Winner (incl. OT)WonIlvesodds up 1.39Confidence 79%
Double chanceWonIlves or drawodds up 1.21Confidence 84%
Banker of the day: Draw no betPushIlvesodds up 1.31Confidence 93%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostIlvesodds up 2.22Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.21Confidence 78%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Ilves 41

Jokerit

Final 4–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 18% Went to a shootout

ILV to winTo win 76% ILV won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–37%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–221%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (5%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-4-03-9-2

Home / road split4-1-00-4-2

StreakL1L2

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for2.81.9

Goals against2.13.3

In the standings2nd16th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.8−1.0

Goals for3.01.7

Goals against2.22.7

Shots on goal25.221.5

Shots against23.421.2

Shooting %11.9%7.9%

Save %91.5%87.7%

Power-play %10.7%12.2%

Penalty kill %92.9%84.2%

Faceoff %52.3%50.3%

Penalty minutes7.79.7

Blocked shots10.89.6

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Ilves 10

Jokerit

Ilves won the last meeting

Goals a gameGoals 3.0 ILV 3.0 · JOK 0.0

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 0 of 1 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 1 All decided in regulation

Oct 10, 2026: Jokerit 0, Ilves 3.

Last five games

Ilves 2-3-0

Loss, 1–3 at Hameenlinna, Oct 16. Odds: HPK 3.90, Ilves 1.81.
Win, 3–0 at Jokerit, Oct 10.
Loss, 1–5 against Lukko, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves 1.98, Lukko 3.20.
Loss, 1–2 at Vaasan Sport, Oct 7.
Win, 6–4 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 3.

Jokerit 1-3-1

Loss, 2–4 against Assat, Oct 16. Odds: Jokerit 2.14, Assat 3.04.
Loss, 0–3 against Ilves, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 against IFK Helsinki, after overtime, Oct 8.
Loss, 2–3 at SaiPa, Oct 3.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Tappara, after overtime, Oct 2.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-2

02:47 Goal Jokerit: Fortier M. assists: Kalapudas A. 0-1
07:17 Goal Jokerit: Hannikainen M. assists: Elorinne A., Pulli V. 0-2
14:49 Goal Ilves: Looke J. assists: Henman L. 1-2
19:26 Goal Ilves: Torok M. assists: Engberg T., Sund T. 2-2

2nd period0-1

06:32 Goal Jokerit: Curry P. assists: Caito M., Henriksson J. 2-3
14:19 2 min Ilves: Engberg T. Tripping

3rd period1-0

01:00 Goal Ilves: Sund T. assists: Haatanen A., Henman L. 3-3
09:07 2 min Jokerit: Curry P. Interference
13:28 2 min Jokerit: Krogdahl M. Tripping

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout1-0

Round 1 Torok M. missed Kalapudas A. missed
Round 2 Haatanen A. scored Curry P. missed
Round 3 Looke J. missed Fortier M. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Ilves and Jokerit played yesterday.
0-4-2 away for Jokerit this season.
In goal: Armalis M. for Ilves (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Karhunen T. for Jokerit (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
4-1-0 at home for Ilves this season.
Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Ilves +0.8, Jokerit −1.0 over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ILV)	1.73	1.73	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (JOK)	4.10	4.10	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5	Line lowered
Handicap ILV	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Ilves vs Jokerit prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details