Ilves vs Jukurit prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 25% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostIlves1.65Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderLostO3.5odds down 1.32Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonJukurit +2.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostIlves1.39Confidence 66%
- Double chanceWonIlves or draw1.20Confidence 76%
- Draw no betPushIlvesodds up 1.30Confidence 70%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.20Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostIlvesodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.62Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min1–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 23, 2026: Jukurit 0, Ilves 3.
- Sep 29, 2026: Ilves 3, Jukurit 2.
- Feb 14, 2026: Ilves 6, Jukurit 2.
- Jan 24, 2026: Jukurit 2, Ilves 3, after overtime.
- Oct 25, 2025: Ilves 3, Jukurit 2.
Last five games
- Win, 3–0 at Jukurit, Oct 23. Odds: Jukurit 3.10, Ilves 2.01.
- Loss, 3–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.
- Win, 4–3 against Jokerit, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Ilves 1.73, Jokerit 4.10.
- Loss, 1–3 at Hameenlinna, Oct 16. Odds: HPK 3.90, Ilves 1.81.
- Win, 3–0 at Jokerit, Oct 10.
- Loss, 0–3 against Ilves, Oct 23. Odds: Jukurit 3.10, Ilves 2.01.
- Win, 3–0 at Vaasan Sport, Oct 20. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.18, Jukurit 2.55.
- Win, 3–2 against Tappara, Oct 17. Odds: Jukurit 3.11, Tappara 2.11.
- Win, 2–1 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–4 at KooKoo, Oct 9. Odds: KooKoo 1.98, Jukurit 3.20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 18:11 2 min Ilves: Parikka J. High sticking
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-1
- 00:39 Goal Ilves: Henman L. assists: Looke J. 1-0
- 04:34 Goal Jukurit: Sedoff C. assists: Olofsson J., Hayhurst J. 1-1
Overtime0-0
- 04:22 2 min Jukurit: — Too many men on the ice
Shootout0-1
-
Round 1
Torok M.
✗missed
Olofsson J.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Haatanen A.
✗missed
Hayhurst J.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Henman L.
✗missed
Frilander J.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Looke J.
✗missed
Boudon L.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Jarvinen J.
✗missed
Ahonen V.
✗missed
-
Round 6
Haatanen A.
✗missed
Lintuniemi A.
✓scored
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Ilves and Jukurit played yesterday.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Ilves.
- In goal: Rifalk C. for Ilves (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Herpin M. for Jukurit (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 5-1-0 at home for Ilves this season.
- Save % gap: Ilves 89.7%, Jukurit 92.3% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ILV) | 1.71 | 1.56 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (JUK) | 4.00 | 4.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5 | Line raised |
| Handicap ILV | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ilves host Jukurit in the Liiga on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.