Ilves vs KalPa Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.29

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2WonIlvesodds down 1.95Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.29Confidence 72%
HandicapWonKalPa +1.5odds up 1.42Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)WonIlvesodds down 1.58Confidence 59%
Double chanceWonIlves or drawodds down 1.30Confidence 70%
Draw no betWonIlvesodds down 1.55Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.19Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Ilves 32

KalPa

Final 1–0

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 1

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

ILV to winTo win 57% ILV won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–04%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–022%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 1 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record12-6-18-8-1

Home / road split5-1-12-4-1

StreakW1W3

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for2.72.7

Goals against2.12.4

In the standings2nd12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.3+0.2

Goals for1.82.7

Goals against2.12.5

Shots on goal25.522.7

Shots against21.723.1

Shooting %7.1%11.9%

Save %91.7%90.0%

Power-play %12.0%25.0%

Penalty kill %100.0%86.8%

Faceoff %46.7%50.8%

Penalty minutes7.37.6

Blocked shots12.08.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Ilves 32

KalPa

Ilves won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.6 ILV 2.8 · KAL 2.8

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 18, 2026: KalPa 1, Ilves 2.
Apr 11, 2026: KalPa 3, Ilves 4.
Apr 8, 2026: Ilves 2, KalPa 1, after overtime.
Apr 6, 2026: KalPa 5, Ilves 3.
Apr 3, 2026: Ilves 3, KalPa 4.

Last five games

Ilves 2-2-1

Win, 2–1 at Tappara, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Tappara 2.85, Ilves 2.05.
Loss, 1–2 at IFK Helsinki, Oct 28. Odds: HIFK 2.55, Ilves 2.25.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Jukurit, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Ilves 1.56, Jukurit 4.50.
Win, 3–0 at Jukurit, Oct 23. Odds: Jukurit 3.10, Ilves 2.01.
Loss, 3–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.

KalPa 4-1-0

Win, 4–1 against Jokerit, Oct 30. Odds: KalPa 2.25, Jokerit 2.50.
Win, 5–2 against Vaasan Sport, Oct 27. Odds: KalPa 1.91, Vaasan Sport 3.20.
Win, 5–1 at Karpat, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.30.
Loss, 2–5 at Karpat, Oct 23. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.50.
Win, 3–1 against Pelicans, Oct 17. Odds: KalPa 2.48, Pelicans 2.54.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

06:06 Goal Ilves: Kos O. assists: Lantta J., Teuho-Markkola T. 1-0
12:50 2 min KalPa: Kombe K. Interference
19:07 2 min Ilves: Strand A. Slashing

2nd period0-0

11:37 2 min KalPa: Kapanen K. High sticking
15:18 2 min Ilves: Borg E. Tripping

3rd period0-0

07:02 2 min Ilves: Sund T. High sticking

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Ilves and KalPa played yesterday.
3-game winning streak for KalPa coming into this game.
In goal: Armalis M. for Ilves (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Korhonen R. for KalPa (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ilves.
+1.2 goals at home — Ilves averaged 3.4 at home and 2.3 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ILV)	1.81	1.81	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.25	4.25	No change
1X2: 2 (KAL)	3.50	3.50	No change
Over/Under line	5	4.5	Line lowered
Handicap ILV	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Ilves vs KalPa prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details