Ilves vs Pelicans Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap

Pelicans +2.5 1.33

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2Ilvesodds down 1.60Confidence 51%
Over/UnderO3.51.32Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapPelicans +2.5odds up 1.33Confidence 72%
Winner (incl. OT)Ilvesodds down 1.36Confidence 63%
Double chanceIlves or drawodds down 1.20Confidence 73%
Draw no betIlvesodds down 1.32Confidence 66%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.18Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2Drawodds up 2.49Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderU1.5odds up 1.65Confidence 60%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 7% since they opened.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Ilves 31

Pelicans

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 4 Line 5.0 · Under

Draw after 60 minDraw 24%

ILV to winTo win 62% 49% in regulation

Score details

Correct score3–15%chance
1st period correct score0–025%chance
Highest scoring period3rd period30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-1
By period 0-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (3%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record13-6-18-8-1

Home / road split6-1-13-4-0

StreakW2L2

Rest10 days10 days

Goals for2.62.4

Goals against2.02.2

In the standings2nd13th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.1+0.3

Goals for1.82.5

Goals against1.92.2

Shots on goal24.522.3

Shots against22.719.0

Shooting %7.3%11.2%

Save %93.0%89.5%

Power-play %11.5%16.7%

Penalty kill %100.0%90.6%

Faceoff %47.1%48.5%

Penalty minutes7.58.5

Blocked shots11.07.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Ilves 41

Pelicans

Ilves won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.0 ILV 2.8 · PEL 1.2

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Feb 25, 2026: Pelicans 2, Ilves 1.
Feb 3, 2026: Ilves 3, Pelicans 0.
Nov 25, 2025: Ilves 3, Pelicans 0.
Sep 19, 2025: Pelicans 2, Ilves 3, after overtime.
Mar 11, 2025: Ilves 4, Pelicans 2.

Last five games

Ilves 3-1-1

Win, 1–0 against KalPa, Oct 31. Odds: Ilves 1.81, KalPa 3.50.
Win, 2–1 at Tappara, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Tappara 2.85, Ilves 2.05.
Loss, 1–2 at IFK Helsinki, Oct 28. Odds: HIFK 2.55, Ilves 2.25.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Jukurit, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Ilves 1.56, Jukurit 4.50.
Win, 3–0 at Jukurit, Oct 23. Odds: Jukurit 3.10, Ilves 2.01.

Pelicans 3-2-0

Loss, 0–3 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 31. Odds: Pelicans 2.50, Kiekko-Espoo 2.30.
Loss, 1–2 at TPS Turku, Oct 30. Odds: TPS 2.01, Pelicans 3.10.
Win, 5–0 against SaiPa, Oct 28. Odds: Pelicans 2.05, SaiPa 2.85.
Win, 5–4 against Tappara, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Pelicans 3.00, Tappara 2.05.
Win, 3–1 at Hameenlinna, Oct 20. Odds: HPK 2.52, Pelicans 2.22.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Ilves dropped from 1.47 to 1.36 since they were first published.
6-1-1 at home for Ilves this season.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Ilves.
Save % gap: Ilves 93.0%, Pelicans 89.5% over their recent games.
4.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ILV)	1.68	1.68	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.30	4.30	No change
1X2: 2 (PEL)	4.25	4.25	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	5	Line raised
Handicap ILV	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Ilves vs Pelicans prediction