Iowa Wild vs Manitoba Moose prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 43% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonManitobaodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.51.32Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonManitoba +1.5odds up 1.31Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonManitobaodds down 2.00Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonManitoba or drawodds down 1.58Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonManitobaodds down 1.82Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostManitobaodds down 2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.20Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Iowa 1–4
Manitoba Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min3–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period2–116%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-1, 0-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-3 (4%), 1-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formIowa Wild
Manitoba Moose
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Iowa 3–2
Manitoba - Oct 24, 2026: Iowa Wild 0, Manitoba Moose 2.
- Apr 18, 2026: Iowa Wild 1, Manitoba Moose 6.
- Apr 17, 2026: Iowa Wild 3, Manitoba Moose 2, after a shootout.
- Feb 22, 2026: Manitoba Moose 1, Iowa Wild 5.
- Feb 21, 2026: Manitoba Moose 2, Iowa Wild 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Iowa
2-2-1 - Loss, 2–3 against Milwaukee Admirals, Oct 21. Odds: Iowa 2.65, Milwaukee 2.15.
- Loss, 2–3 at Chicago Wolves, Oct 18. Odds: Chicago 2.45, Iowa 2.12.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Chicago Wolves, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Chicago 2.42, Iowa 2.18.
- Win, 2–0 at Rockford IceHogs, Oct 16. Odds: Rockford 2.42, Iowa 2.10.
- Win, 4–3 against Rockford IceHogs, Oct 10. Odds: Iowa 2.62, Rockford 2.15.
Manitoba
3-2-0 - Loss, 3–4 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 21. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.20, Manitoba 2.55.
- Win, 4–3 against Texas Stars, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manitoba 1.91, Texas 3.00.
- Win, 7–4 against Texas Stars, Oct 16. Odds: Manitoba 2.50, Texas 2.07.
- Win, 6–1 at Chicago Wolves, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–2 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 9. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.70, Manitoba 2.16.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 10:36 Goal PPG Manitoba Moose: Gregor N. assists: Chibrikov N., Thrun H. 0-1
- 14:15 Goal PPG Iowa Wild: Stramel C. assists: Heidt R., Peart J. 1-1
- 19:09 Goal PPG Iowa Wild: Kirkland J. assists: Gambrell D., Mayhew G. 2-1
2nd period1-1
- 02:31 Goal PPG Manitoba Moose: Zhilkin D. assists: Ford P., Gregor N. 2-2
- 06:09 Goal Iowa Wild: Kumpulainen R. assists: Rheaume N., Koster M. 3-2
3rd period0-2
- 04:20 Goal Manitoba Moose: Ford P. assists: Zhilkin D. 3-3
- 08:18 Goal PPG Manitoba Moose: Ford P. assists: He K., Barlow C. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Iowa Wild coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Iowa Wild −0.8, Manitoba Moose +1.0 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Iowa Wild.
- Save % gap: Iowa Wild 89.2%, Manitoba Moose 93.0% over their recent games.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (IOW) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MAN) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap IOW | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Grand Rapids Griffins |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 |
| 2 | Manitoba Moose |
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 |
| 3 |  Milwaukee Admirals |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| 4 | Iowa Wild |
16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 5 |  Chicago Wolves |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 |
| 6 |  Rockford IceHogs |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 |
| 7 |  Texas Stars |
14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Iowa Wild host Manitoba Moose in the AHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.