Iowa Wild vs Rockford IceHogs prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostIowaodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.41Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonIowa +1.5odds down 1.33Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonIowaodds down 2.02Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonIowa or drawodds down 1.57Confidence 63%
- Draw no betPushIowaodds down 2.05Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonIowaodds down 3.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 20% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 15% since they opened; the odds drifted 10% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Iowa 4–1
Rockford Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 5-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formIowa Wild
Rockford IceHogs
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Iowa 4–1
Rockford - Nov 8, 2026: Rockford IceHogs 2, Iowa Wild 5.
- Oct 16, 2026: Rockford IceHogs 0, Iowa Wild 2.
- Oct 10, 2026: Iowa Wild 4, Rockford IceHogs 3.
- Oct 9, 2026: Iowa Wild 1, Rockford IceHogs 2.
- Apr 10, 2026: Rockford IceHogs 4, Iowa Wild 5.
Last five games
Iowa
0-4-1 - Overtime loss, 4–5 against Charlotte Checkers, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Iowa 2.41, Charlotte 2.33.
- Loss, 3–6 against Charlotte Checkers, Oct 30. Odds: Iowa 2.29, Charlotte 2.50.
- Loss, 0–2 against Manitoba Moose, Oct 24. Odds: Iowa 2.50, Manitoba 2.25.
- Loss, 3–4 against Manitoba Moose, Oct 23. Odds: Iowa 2.50, Manitoba 2.25.
- Loss, 2–3 against Milwaukee Admirals, Oct 21. Odds: Iowa 2.65, Milwaukee 2.15.
Rockford
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 against Texas Stars, Nov 1. Odds: Rockford 2.20, Texas 2.50.
- Loss, 3–6 against Manitoba Moose, Oct 30. Odds: Rockford 2.24, Manitoba 2.52.
- Win, 3–0 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 25. Odds: Toronto 2.05, Rockford 2.75.
- Win, 3–2 at Toronto Marlies, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Toronto 2.10, Rockford 2.71.
- Loss, 1–5 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 18. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.15, Rockford 2.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 02:51 Goal Iowa Wild: Marek B. assists: Peart J., Bankier C. 1-0
- 05:40 Goal PPG Iowa Wild: Kirkland J. assists: Mayhew G., Kaliyev A. 2-0
- 18:39 Goal PPG Rockford IceHogs: Hayes G. assists: Pouliot D., Felcman J. 2-1
2nd period1-0
- 03:16 Goal Iowa Wild: Peart J. assists: Marek B. 3-1
3rd period0-2
- 02:32 Goal PPG Rockford IceHogs: Seney B. assists: Toninato D., Hayes G. 3-2
- 03:06 Goal PPG Rockford IceHogs: Seney B. assists: Pouliot D., Toninato D. 3-3
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout4-3
-
Round 1
Kirkland J.
✓scored
Hayes G.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Kaliyev A.
✓scored
Felcman J.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Mayhew G.
✗missed
Seney B.
✓scored
-
Round 4
Rieger L.
✓scored
Mackey C.
✓scored
-
Round 5
Haight H.
✗missed
Toninato D.
✗missed
-
Round 6
Heidt R.
✓scored
Slaggert L.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Iowa Wild coming into this game.
- 1-5-1 at home for Iowa Wild this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Iowa Wild.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
- 4th vs 6th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (IOW) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ROC) | 2.60 | 2.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap IOW | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Grand Rapids Griffins |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 |
| 2 |  Manitoba Moose |
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 |
| 3 |  Milwaukee Admirals |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| 4 | Iowa Wild |
16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 5 |  Chicago Wolves |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 |
| 7 |  Texas Stars |
14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Iowa Wild host Rockford IceHogs in the AHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.