IPK vs KeuPa prediction
Chance to win · 64% and 17% in regulation
Kerkola P.StartedSV 91.6% · GAA 2.00 · 7-3-0
Pasanen J.StartedSV 82% · GAA 2.56 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2WonIPKodds up 1.46Confidence 66%
- Over/UnderWonU7.51.33Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonIPK -0.51.45Confidence 66%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonIPK1.25Confidence 77%
- Double chanceWonIPK or drawodds up 1.16Confidence 83%
- Draw no betWonIPK1.21Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostIPK1.91Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.68Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.IPK 4–1
KeuPa Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–211%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formIPK
KeuPa
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
IPK 3–2
KeuPa - Oct 10, 2026: IPK 3, KeuPa 4, after a shootout.
- Oct 2, 2026: KeuPa 1, IPK 6.
- Feb 10, 2026: IPK 2, KeuPa 4.
- Jan 24, 2026: KeuPa 2, IPK 4.
- Jan 13, 2026: IPK 6, KeuPa 3.
Last five games
IPK
3-1-1 - Win, 3–1 against Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 23. Odds: IPK 1.90, Kiekko-Pojat 2.95.
- Win, 5–4 at RoKi, Oct 21. Odds: RoKi 2.45, IPK 2.25.
- Loss, 0–4 against TUTO, Oct 16. Odds: IPK 2.15, TUTO 2.72.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against KeuPa, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: IPK 1.45, KeuPa 5.00.
- Win, 5–3 at Pyry, Oct 7.
KeuPa
4-1-0 - Win, 3–2 at RoKi, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: RoKi 1.67, KeuPa 3.60.
- Win, 4–2 at Hermes, Oct 21. Odds: Hermes 1.65, KeuPa 3.70.
- Loss, 2–3 against Hermes, Oct 16. Odds: KeuPa 2.61, Hermes 2.19.
- Win, 5–2 at K-Vantaa, Oct 15. Odds: K-Vantaa 1.66, KeuPa 4.00.
- Win, 4–3 at IPK, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: IPK 1.45, KeuPa 5.00.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 01:56 Goal KeuPa: Kesajarvi A. assists: Winqvist K., Hokkanen R. 0-1
- 07:24 Goal IPK: Ahvenlampi M. assists: Junkkari J., Gronblom T. 1-1
- 17:50 Goal KeuPa: Jarvenpaa M. assists: Mutka J., Huttu E. 1-2
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period2-0
- 01:26 Goal IPK: Kahkonen J. assists: Halonen V., Jaatinen O. 2-2
- 07:38 Goal IPK: Suhonen P. assists: Virtanen J., Paqvalin A. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Kerkola P. for IPK (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Pasanen J. for KeuPa (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — IPK +1.1, KeuPa −0.2 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for IPK.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for KeuPa.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (IPK) | 1.47 | 1.57 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.70 | 4.50 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (KEU) | 4.80 | 4.15 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap IPK | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 |  Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 | KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
IPK host KeuPa in the Mestis on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.