IPK vs Kiekko-Pojat prediction
Chance to win · 63% and 18% in regulation
Sammalniemi J.StartedSV 90.1% · GAA 2.20 · 3-0-2
Kohonen P.StartedSV 87.3% · GAA 2.90 · 5-3-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2WonIPKodds up 1.62Confidence 66%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonIPK -0.5odds up 1.61Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonIPKodds up 1.37Confidence 77%
- Double chanceWonIPK or drawodds up 1.21Confidence 83%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonIPKodds up 1.33Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostIPKodds up 2.10Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.IPK 4–1
Kiekko-Pojat Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–16%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formIPK
Kiekko-Pojat
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
IPK 4–1
Kiekko-Pojat - Sep 11, 2026: Kiekko-Pojat 1, IPK 5.
- Feb 21, 2026: Kiekko-Pojat 1, IPK 4.
- Feb 19, 2026: IPK 3, Kiekko-Pojat 1.
- Dec 28, 2025: IPK 4, Kiekko-Pojat 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 27, 2025: Kiekko-Pojat 4, IPK 2.
Last five games
IPK
3-1-1 - Win, 5–4 at RoKi, Oct 21. Odds: RoKi 2.45, IPK 2.25.
- Loss, 0–4 against TUTO, Oct 16. Odds: IPK 2.15, TUTO 2.72.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against KeuPa, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: IPK 1.45, KeuPa 5.00.
- Win, 5–3 at Pyry, Oct 7.
- Win, 6–1 at KeuPa, Oct 2.
Kiekko-Pojat
4-0-1 - Win, 5–1 against Pyry, Oct 22. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 1.45, Pyry 4.90.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against TUTO, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 2.80, TUTO 2.02.
- Win, 3–1 against Kettera, Oct 16. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 2.13, Kettera 2.75.
- Win, 5–2 against RoKi, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against KeuPa, Oct 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-1
- 07:18 Goal Kiekko-Pojat: Kokkola T. assists: Lehmus J., Taskula J. 0-1
- 18:24 Goal IPK: Ahvenlampi M. assists: Jaatinen O. 1-1
3rd period2-0
- 01:27 Goal IPK: Tolppola V. assists: Kahkonen J., Jaatinen O. 2-1
- 18:40 Goal ENG IPK: Jaatinen O. assists: Kahkonen J. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Kiekko-Pojat, who played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Kiekko-Pojat dropped from 2.85 to 2.30 since they were first published.
- 1-3-1 away for Kiekko-Pojat this season.
- In goal: Sammalniemi J. for IPK (3-0-2 in the last 5 starts), Kohonen P. for Kiekko-Pojat (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for IPK.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (IPK) | 1.90 | 1.90 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KIE) | 2.95 | 2.95 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap IPK | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 | Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
IPK host Kiekko-Pojat in the Mestis on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.