IPK vs Pyry prediction
Chance to win · 64% and 18% in regulation
Sammalniemi J.StartedSV 91.4% · GAA 2.00 · 4-0-2
Makela A.StartedSV 89.3% · GAA 2.60 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2LostIPKodds up 1.40Confidence 67%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.39Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostIPK -1.5odds up 1.68Confidence 61%
- Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)LostIPKodds up 1.21Confidence 92%
- Double chanceWonIPK or drawodds up 1.08Confidence 83%
- Draw no betPushIPKodds up 1.27Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonIPKodds up 2.10Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.63Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.IPK 4–1
Pyry Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–111%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formIPK
Pyry
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
IPK 4–1
Pyry - Oct 7, 2026: Pyry 3, IPK 5.
- Feb 25, 2026: Pyry 2, IPK 4.
- Feb 13, 2026: IPK 5, Pyry 2.
- Jan 6, 2026: Pyry 5, IPK 4, after overtime.
- Dec 4, 2025: Pyry 1, IPK 3.
Last five games
IPK
3-1-1 - Win, 3–2 against KeuPa, Oct 29. Odds: IPK 1.57, KeuPa 4.15.
- Win, 3–1 against Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 23. Odds: IPK 1.90, Kiekko-Pojat 2.95.
- Win, 5–4 at RoKi, Oct 21. Odds: RoKi 2.45, IPK 2.25.
- Loss, 0–4 against TUTO, Oct 16. Odds: IPK 2.15, TUTO 2.72.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against KeuPa, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: IPK 1.45, KeuPa 5.00.
Pyry
3-2-0 - Win, 4–1 at Kettera, Oct 29. Odds: Kettera 1.70, Pyry 3.50.
- Win, 6–4 against Kettera, Oct 24. Odds: Pyry 2.25, Kettera 2.45.
- Loss, 1–5 at Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 22. Odds: Kiekko-Pojat 1.45, Pyry 4.90.
- Win, 4–3 at Hermes, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Hermes 1.73, Pyry 3.51.
- Loss, 2–6 at RoKi, Oct 16. Odds: RoKi 1.65, Pyry 3.99.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 06:46 Goal IPK: Jaatinen O. assists: Tolppola V. 1-0
- 10:01 Goal IPK: Tolppola V. assists: Ahvenlampi M., Jaatinen O. 2-0
- 19:38 Goal Pyry: Saavola T. assists: Hietanen J., Mantymaki T. 2-1
2nd period0-1
- 02:51 Goal Pyry: Nyppeli J. assists: Tiihonen L., Mantymaki T. 2-2
3rd period1-1
- 02:41 Goal PPG IPK: Tolppola V. 3-2
- 12:58 Goal Pyry: Virolainen J. 3-3
Overtime0-1
- 00:15 Goal Pyry: Virolainen J. assists: Tiihonen M., Bilgili S. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for IPK coming into this game.
- 2-6-1 away for Pyry this season.
- In goal: Sammalniemi J. for IPK (4-0-2 in the last 6 starts), Makela A. for Pyry (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.2 per game — IPK +1.1, Pyry −1.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for IPK.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (IPK) | 1.45 | 1.45 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PYR) | 4.80 | 4.80 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap IPK | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 |  TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 |  Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 | Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
IPK host Pyry in the Mestis on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.