IPK vs TUTO prediction
Chance to win · 55% and 24% in regulation
Kerkola P.StartedSV 92.4% · GAA 1.90 · 7-2-1
Helomaa J.StartedSV 88.1% · GAA 3.10 · 5-5-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostIPKodds up 1.72Confidence 57%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds up 1.62Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostIPK +0.5odds up 1.27Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostIPKodds up 1.43Confidence 69%
- Double chanceLostIPK or drawodds up 1.35Confidence 77%
- Draw no betLostIPKodds up 1.53Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostIPKodds up 2.38Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.74Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.IPK 5–2
TUTO Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min0–45%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%), 5-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formIPK
TUTO
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
IPK 1–4
TUTO - Feb 24, 2026: TUTO 4, IPK 2.
- Jan 16, 2026: IPK 2, TUTO 5.
- Dec 5, 2025: TUTO 4, IPK 0.
- Nov 14, 2025: IPK 3, TUTO 2, after overtime.
- Sep 12, 2025: TUTO 4, IPK 3, after overtime.
Last five games
IPK
3-0-2 - Overtime loss, 3–4 against KeuPa, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: IPK 1.45, KeuPa 5.00.
- Win, 5–3 at Pyry, Oct 7.
- Win, 6–1 at KeuPa, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–0 against K-Vantaa, Sep 25.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Hermes, after overtime, Sep 23.
TUTO
5-0-0 - Win, 3–2 against Hermes, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–2 against Pyry, Oct 2.
- Win, 6–3 against Kettera, Sep 26.
- Win, 3–2 against KeuPa, after overtime, Sep 25.
- Win, 4–0 at Hermes, Sep 19.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 08:01 Goal TUTO: Korhonen J. assists: Rikkila H., Turppa T. 0-1
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period0-3
- 08:14 Goal PPG TUTO: Valila E. assists: Markkula S., Karnaranta V. 0-2
- 11:11 Goal TUTO: Rikkila H. assists: Karnaranta V., Happonen E. 0-3
- 17:15 Goal ENG TUTO: Vuori T. 0-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for TUTO coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on TUTO dropped from 2.57 to 2.22 since they were first published.
- In goal: Kerkola P. for IPK (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Helomaa J. for TUTO (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — IPK +1.4, TUTO +0.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for TUTO.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (IPK) | 1.90 | 2.15 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.28 | 4.09 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (TUT) | 3.17 | 2.72 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap IPK | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPK |
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 |
| 2 | TUTO |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 |
| 3 |  K-Vantaa |
14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 |
| 4 |  Kiekko-Pojat |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 |
| 5 |  RoKi |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 6 |  KeuPa |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 |
| 7 |  Pyry |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 |
| 8 |  Hermes |
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 9 |  Kettera |
16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
IPK host TUTO in the Mestis on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.