Japan vs Denmark prediction
Chance to win · 40% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Full game
- 1X2LostJapanodds down 1.48Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.44Confidence 66%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonDenmark +2.5odds up 1.36Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostJapan1.28Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonJapan or draw1.14Confidence 59%
- Draw no betPushJapanodds up 1.20Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.27Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonJapanodds down 2.11Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.52.40Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 0 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
The two teams play in different competitions, so this projection leans on less.
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Apr 9, 2024: Japan 3, Denmark 0.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–7 against Slovakia, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–2 at Hungary, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–4 at France, Oct 1.
- Win, 3–2 against France, after overtime, Dec 13, 2025.
- Win, 3–2 at Slovakia, Dec 12, 2025.
- Loss, 1–4 against Finland, Nov 6. Odds: Denmark 35.00, Finland 1.01.
- Loss, 0–5 against Germany, Nov 3.
- Loss, 1–3 against Hungary, Feb 8.
- Loss, 0–3 at Japan, Apr 9, 2024.
- Win, 2–1 at China, after a shootout, Apr 7, 2024.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 05:22 Goal Japan: Odaira U. assists: Koyama R. 1-0
- 10:10 2 min Denmark: Sorensen M. Hooking
- 13:53 Goal Japan: Odaira U. assists: Nagaoka M. 2-0
- 18:19 2 min Denmark: Brix M. Tripping
2nd period0-1
- 00:47 Goal Denmark: Bergmann N. assists: Sondergaard N. 2-1
- 13:13 2 min Japan: Noro R. Hooking
- 14:57 2 min Denmark: Foss F. Holding
- 19:42 2 min Japan: Seki K. Delay of game
3rd period0-1
- 01:14 2 min Japan: Lack H. Slashing
- 02:03 2 min Japan: Shiga Ao. Tripping
- 07:01 2 min Denmark: Skott Dahl S. Late hit
- 09:08 2 min Denmark: Sondergaard N. Tripping
- 17:04 Goal Denmark: Christensen T. assists: Bergmann N. 2-2
- 18:25 2 min Japan: Shiga Ak. Tripping
- 18:42 2 min Denmark: Christensen T. Interference
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-2
-
Round 1
Ito M.
✗missed
Sondergaard N.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Odaira U.
✓scored
Bergmann N.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Shiga Ak.
✗missed
Christensen T.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Wajima Y.
✗missed
Glud S.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Nagaoka M.
✗missed
Foss F.
✓scored
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Denmark, who played yesterday.
- 4-game losing streak for Denmark coming into this game.
- 5th vs 4th in the WCH Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (JAP) | 1.47 | 1.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.60 | 4.50 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (DEN) | 5.00 | 5.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap JAP | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
WCH Women standings
Regular Season · Group B
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Japan host Denmark in the WCH Women on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.