Japan vs Sweden prediction
Chance to win · 2% and 94% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 74%Full game
- 1X2Swedenodds down 1.01Confidence 75%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderO4.5odds up 1.32Confidence 70%
- HandicapSweden -3.5odds down 1.35Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)Sweden1.01Confidence 80%
- Double chanceSweden or draw1.01Confidence 80%
- Draw no betSweden1.01Confidence 80%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.80Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2Swedenodds down 1.27Confidence 65%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds down 1.76Confidence 66%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Japan 1–5
Sweden Score details
- Correct score1–55%chance
- 1st period correct score0–220%chance
- Highest scoring period2nd period29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-5
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-5 (5%), 1-6 (5%), 1-7 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonJapan
Sweden
Head-to-head
Japan 0–2
Sweden - Apr 13, 2025: Japan 0, Sweden 2.
- Apr 7, 2024: Sweden 6, Japan 2.
Last five games
Japan
1-3-1 - Loss, 2–8 at Finland, Nov 10. Odds: Finland 1.08, Japan 22.00.
- Loss, 0–9 at Canada, Nov 8. Odds: Canada –, Japan 55.00.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Denmark, after a shootout, Nov 7. Odds: Japan 1.50, Denmark 5.50.
- Loss, 3–7 against Slovakia, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–2 at Hungary, Oct 2.
Sweden
2-3-0 - Win, 10–0 against Denmark, Nov 10. Odds: Sweden 1.02, Denmark 45.00.
- Win, 4–1 at Finland, Nov 8. Odds: Finland 2.50, Sweden 2.60.
- Loss, 1–5 against Canada, Nov 6. Odds: Sweden 15.00, Canada 1.09.
- Loss, 2–3 at Switzerland, Apr 19, 2025.
- Loss, 2–3 at Finland, Apr 17, 2025.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Japan and Sweden played yesterday.
- 4-game losing streak for Japan coming into this game.
- 5th vs 2nd in the WCH Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (JAP) | 40.00 | 40.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 15.00 | 15.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SWE) | 1.03 | 1.03 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap JAP | +4.5 | +4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
WCH Women standings
Regular Season · Group B
- Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Japan host Sweden in the WCH Women on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.