Jarfalla vs Boden prediction
Chance to win · 18% and 65% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2WonBoden1.24Confidence 68%
- Over/UnderWonU8.5odds up 1.29Confidence 75%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonJarfalla +3.51.44Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBodenodds up 1.12Confidence 78%
- Double chanceWonBoden or drawodds down 1.09Confidence 82%
- Draw no betWonBodenodds down 1.10Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBodenodds up 1.66Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.48Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Jarfalla 1–4
Boden Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–56%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–112%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (6%), 2-5 (5%), 2-4 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonJarfalla
Boden
Last five games
Jarfalla
3-2-0 - Loss, 3–5 against Lindloven, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–2 at Surahammar, Oct 9. Odds: Surahammar 1.83, Jarfalla 3.05.
- Win, 6–3 against Pitea, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–2 against Ornskoldsvik, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–6 at Kalix, Sep 27.
Boden
4-0-1 - Win, 2–1 against Borlange, Oct 11.
- Win, 6–3 at Vallentuna, Oct 4.
- Win, 12–3 at Sollentuna, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Lindloven, after a shootout, Sep 27.
- Win, 4–1 against Surahammar, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 11:20 Goal Boden: Svensson O. assists: Sundin J., Selstrom O. 0-1
2nd period2-1
- 01:43 Goal Boden: Hamalainen A. assists: Selstrom E. 0-2
- 10:41 Goal Jarfalla: Dahlin I. assists: Broed K., Thoren E. 1-2
- 13:36 Goal Jarfalla: Diberius A. assists: Sandberg E., Thoren I. 2-2
3rd period0-3
- 01:17 Goal Boden: Wallin A. assists: Sundin J. 2-3
- 01:51 Goal Boden: Astrom W. assists: Edstrom V., Dahlroth F. 2-4
- 17:30 Goal ENG Boden: Thomasson N. assists: Jonsson J. 2-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Boden coming into this game.
- 11th vs 3rd in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (JAR) | 7.60 | 7.70 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.90 | 5.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BOD) | 1.25 | 1.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap JAR | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 | Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 |  Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 |  Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 | Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 |  Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 |  Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 |  Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Jarfalla host Boden in the HockeyEttan Norra on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.