Jastrzebie vs Torun Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Torun +1.5 1.30

Confidence76%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2LostTorunodds down 2.34Confidence 53%
Over/UnderLostO5.5odds down 1.73Confidence 52%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTorun +1.5odds down 1.30Confidence 76%
Winner (incl. OT)LostTorunodds down 1.85Confidence 63%
Double chanceLostTorun or drawodds up 1.49Confidence 65%
Draw no betLostTorunodds down 1.85Confidence 63%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.07Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostTorunodds down 2.75Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 34% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the odds drifted 17% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Jastrzebie 24

Torun

Final 1–0

Total goalsTotal 6 Actual 1

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

TOR to winTo win 66% JAS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min1–04%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–018%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 1 goals31%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-4
By period 0-1, 1-2, 1-1
Likeliest 2-4 (5%), 2-5 (4%), 3-5 (2%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record4-5-07-2-0

Home / road split1-3-03-1-0

StreakW2W1

Rest4 days4 days

Goals for2.23.9

Goals against2.92.6

In the standings8th4th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−1.0+1.1

Goals for2.13.7

Goals against3.12.6

Shots on goal22.127.3

Shots against25.632.0

Shooting %9.5%13.6%

Save %87.9%91.9%

Power-play %16.7%30.8%

Penalty kill %82.0%79.1%

Faceoff %48.9%54.7%

Penalty minutes11.911.3

Blocked shots8.312.5

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Jastrzebie 23

Torun

Torun won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.4 JAS 1.8 · TOR 3.6

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 15, 2026: Torun 8, Jastrzebie 0.
Jan 11, 2026: Jastrzebie 1, Torun 2.
Dec 2, 2025: Torun 1, Jastrzebie 2.
Oct 26, 2025: Torun 2, Jastrzebie 3, after overtime.
Sep 28, 2025: Jastrzebie 3, Torun 5.

Last five games

Jastrzebie 2-3-0

Win, 5–0 against MMKS Podhale, Oct 11.
Win, 5–4 at Unia Oswiecim, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Unia Oswiecim 1.42, Jastrzebie 4.90.
Loss, 2–4 against Zaglebie Sosnowiec, Oct 4.
Loss, 2–3 at Katowice, Oct 2.
Loss, 1–4 against Tychy, Sep 27.

Torun 3-2-0

Win, 3–2 against Unia Oswiecim, after overtime, Oct 11.
Loss, 2–6 at Zaglebie Sosnowiec, Oct 9. Odds: Zaglebie 1.65, Torun 3.55.
Loss, 0–7 against Katowice, Oct 4.
Win, 4–1 at Tychy, Oct 2.
Win, 2–1 against Sanok, Sep 27.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

16:35 Goal Jastrzebie: Bagin E. assists: Kasperlik M., Stolarski B. 1-0

2nd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

3rd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Torun dropped from 1.92 to 1.72 since they were first published.
In goal: Holsa P. for Jastrzebie (1-4-0 in the last 5 starts), Kalmykov R. for Torun (7-1-0 in the last 8 starts).
Goal differential gap of 2.1 per game — Jastrzebie −1.0, Torun +1.1 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Torun.
Save % gap: Jastrzebie 87.9%, Torun 91.9% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (JAS)	2.18	2.18	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (TOR)	2.15	2.15	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap JAS	−0.5	+0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Polish Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Tychy	16	13	3	0	39	1.219	75	29	+46
2	Katowice	19	11	7	1	34	.895	81	46	+35
3	Bytom	17	11	6	0	33	.971	73	38	+35
4	Torun	16	11	5	0	32	1.000	68	40	+28
5	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	16	10	5	1	31	.969	73	40	+33
6	Unia Oswiecim	15	9	4	2	28	.933	63	49	+14
7	Krakow	17	8	9	0	23	.676	47	61	−14
8	Jastrzebie	16	7	9	0	20	.625	30	44	−14
9	Sanok	16	2	14	0	6	.188	23	70	−47
10	MMKS Podhale	16	0	16	0	0	.000	20	136	−116

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Jastrzebie vs Torun prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details