Jokerit U20 vs Pelicans Lahti U20 prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostJokerit U20odds down 2.42Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.45Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostJokerit U20 +1.51.34Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostJokerit U20odds down 1.92Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostJokerit U20 or draw1.45Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostJokerit U20Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesConfidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostJokerit U20odds down 2.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.86Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min0–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 20, 2026: Pelicans Lahti U20 5, Jokerit U20 4.
- Jan 10, 2026: Jokerit U20 0, Pelicans Lahti U20 7.
- Oct 4, 2025: Pelicans Lahti U20 4, Jokerit U20 1.
- Feb 28, 2025: Jokerit U20 5, Pelicans Lahti U20 1.
- Nov 22, 2024: Pelicans Lahti U20 6, Jokerit U20 7, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–5 against SaiPa U20, Oct 11.
- Win, 6–3 at IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–0 against KooKoo U20, Oct 9. Odds: Jokerit U20 1.60, KooKoo U20 4.10.
- Win, 2–1 against TPS U20, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Vaasan Sport U20, after overtime, Sep 27.
- Win, 5–2 against Ilves U20, Oct 14. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.67, Ilves U20 3.45.
- Win, 6–3 against KooKoo U20, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–2 at SaiPa U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 4–6 at Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 9. Odds: K-Espoo U20 2.10, Pelicans U20 2.62.
- Win, 1–0 at KooKoo U20, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Pelicans Lahti U20 coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Jokerit U20, 1 for Pelicans Lahti U20.
- 4-1-0 away for Pelicans Lahti U20 this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Pelicans Lahti U20.
- 8.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (JOK) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PLU) | 2.18 | 2.18 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap JOK | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Jokerit U20 host Pelicans Lahti U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.