Jokerit vs Assat Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O3.5 1.26

Confidence73%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2WonAssatodds up 2.60Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.51.26Confidence 73%
HandicapWonAssat +1.5odds up 1.33Confidence 76%
Winner (incl. OT)WonAssatodds up 2.00Confidence 63%
Double chanceWonAssat or drawodds up 1.55Confidence 72%
Draw no betWonAssatodds up 1.98Confidence 63%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostAssatodds up 3.05Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.69Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Jokerit 14

Assat

Final 2–4

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

ASS to winTo win 62% ASS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–45%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–018%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-1, 0-1, 1-2
Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-3 (4%), 1-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record3-8-28-3-2

Home / road split3-4-04-1-1

StreakL1W1

Rest5 days1 day

Goals for1.92.4

Goals against3.22.1

In the standings16th5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−1.0+0.1

Goals for1.72.1

Goals against2.72.0

Shots on goal22.523.5

Shots against20.823.1

Shooting %7.6%8.9%

Save %87.5%91.3%

Power-play %9.1%18.2%

Penalty kill %85.4%76.0%

Faceoff %49.2%52.5%

Penalty minutes10.35.0

Blocked shots9.410.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Jokerit 01

Assat

Assat won the last meeting

Goals a gameGoals 5.0 JOK 2.0 · ASS 3.0

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 0 of 1 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 1 All decided in regulation

Sep 9, 2026: Assat 3, Jokerit 2.

Last five games

Jokerit 2-2-1

Loss, 0–3 against Ilves, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 against IFK Helsinki, after overtime, Oct 8.
Loss, 2–3 at SaiPa, Oct 3.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Tappara, after overtime, Oct 2.
Win, 3–0 against Hameenlinna, Sep 29.

Assat 3-1-1

Win, 1–0 at KalPa, Oct 14. Odds: KalPa 2.81, Assat 2.32.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Hameenlinna, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Assat 1.88, HPK 3.50.
Win, 1–0 at Jukurit, Oct 7.
Win, 5–2 at Lukko, Oct 3.
Loss, 0–3 against Lukko, Oct 2.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

09:28 2 min Assat: Noiva N. Slashing
19:14 2 min Jokerit: Krogdahl M. Cross checking

2nd period1-3

00:21 Goal PPG Assat: Pinard S. assists: Kostilainen S., Hillis C. 0-1
02:29 Goal Assat: Kostilainen S. assists: Sebok B., Nurmi P. 0-2
04:26 Goal Jokerit: Kalapudas A. assists: Elorinne A., Tuomola R. 1-2
12:46 2 min Assat: Tiivola P. Roughing
12:46 2 min Jokerit: Fortier M. Roughing
14:04 Goal Assat: Kim A. assists: Kostilainen S., Jurgens C. 1-3

3rd period1-1

08:45 2 min Assat: Kostilainen S. Hooking
09:09 2 min Assat: Bjorkqvist K. Delay of game
09:26 Goal PPG Jokerit: Virta P. assists: Nikkanen H., Forslund A. 2-3
12:10 Goal Assat: Hillis C. assists: Pinard S., Nikkila P. 2-4
18:29 2 min Assat: Hillis C. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Rest advantage: 5 days off for Jokerit, 1 for Assat.
In goal: Karhunen T. for Jokerit (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Taponen R. for Assat (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Jokerit −1.0, Assat +0.1 over their recent games.
Save % gap: Jokerit 87.5%, Assat 91.3% over their recent games.
16th vs 5th in the Liiga standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (JOK)	2.11	2.14	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	3.76	3.76	No change
1X2: 2 (ASS)	3.11	3.04	Shortened
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap JOK	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Jokerit vs Assat prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details