Jukurit vs Ilves prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonIlvesodds up 2.08Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO3.51.34Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostJukurit +1.5odds up 1.35Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonIlves1.65Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonIlves or draw1.35Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonIlves1.58Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.40Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.60Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min0–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–124%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 24, 2026: Ilves 1, Jukurit 2, after a shootout.
- Sep 29, 2026: Ilves 3, Jukurit 2.
- Feb 14, 2026: Ilves 6, Jukurit 2.
- Jan 24, 2026: Jukurit 2, Ilves 3, after overtime.
- Oct 25, 2025: Ilves 3, Jukurit 2.
Last five games
- Win, 3–0 at Vaasan Sport, Oct 20. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.18, Jukurit 2.55.
- Win, 3–2 against Tappara, Oct 17. Odds: Jukurit 3.11, Tappara 2.11.
- Win, 2–1 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–4 at KooKoo, Oct 9. Odds: KooKoo 1.98, Jukurit 3.20.
- Loss, 0–1 against Assat, Oct 7.
- Loss, 3–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.
- Win, 4–3 against Jokerit, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Ilves 1.73, Jokerit 4.10.
- Loss, 1–3 at Hameenlinna, Oct 16. Odds: HPK 3.90, Ilves 1.81.
- Win, 3–0 at Jokerit, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–5 against Lukko, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves 1.98, Lukko 3.20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 07:19 2 min Ilves: Haatanen A. Tripping
- 13:02 Goal Ilves: Borg E. assists: Torok M. 0-1
2nd period0-0
- 00:35 2 min Ilves: Borg E. Hooking
- 05:35 2 min Ilves: Lantta J. Hooking
- 12:24 2 min Jukurit: Lintuniemi A. Tripping
- 18:04 2 min Jukurit: Saari E. Cross checking
3rd period0-2
- 05:36 2 min Jukurit: — Delay of game
- 05:52 Goal PPG Ilves: Henman L. assists: Korhonen B., Sund T. 0-2
- 11:18 2 min Ilves: Sund T. Holding
- 12:58 Goal SHG Ilves: Looke J. assists: Borg E. 0-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Jukurit coming into this game.
- In goal: Myrenberg J. for Jukurit (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts), Armalis M. for Ilves (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 7-2-0 at home for Jukurit this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Ilves.
- −1.5 goals away — Ilves averaged 3.8 at home and 2.3 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (JUK) | 3.10 | 3.10 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ILV) | 2.01 | 2.01 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap JUK | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Jukurit host Ilves in the Liiga on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.