JYP vs Assat Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.29

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Full game

1X2WonJYPodds down 2.05Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.29Confidence 72%
HandicapWonAssat +3.51.07Confidence 78%
Winner (incl. OT)WonJYPodds up 1.61Confidence 60%
Double chanceWonJYP or draw1.35Confidence 70%
Draw no betWonJYPodds up 1.57Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonJYP2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds up 1.18Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

JYP 41

Assat

Final 4–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

JYP to winTo win 58% JYP won

Score details

Correct scoreWon4–1After 60 min4–15%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–118%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-3-19-5-2

Home / road split2-0-15-2-1

StreakW1L2

Rest1 day2 days

Goals for3.12.3

Goals against2.62.3

In the standings4th5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.3−0.7

Goals for2.51.9

Goals against2.82.6

Shots on goal26.522.8

Shots against23.923.4

Shooting %9.4%8.3%

Save %88.3%89.3%

Power-play %14.7%17.9%

Penalty kill %88.6%77.8%

Faceoff %51.3%52.5%

Penalty minutes11.25.4

Blocked shots9.79.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

JYP 31

Assat

JYP won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.3 JYP 3.5 · ASS 2.8

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 4 All decided in regulation

Mar 17, 2026: JYP 5, Assat 4.
Sep 27, 2025: Assat 2, JYP 3.
Jan 22, 2025: JYP 5, Assat 2.
Dec 5, 2024: Assat 3, JYP 1.

Last five games

JYP 3-1-1

Win, 3–2 against Hameenlinna, Oct 22. Odds: JYP 1.58, HPK 4.25.
Overtime loss, 4–5 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: JYP 1.90, Karpat 3.50.
Win, 3–2 against Lukko, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.
Loss, 1–6 at Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 9. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.02, JYP 3.05.
Win, 2–1 at SaiPa, Oct 8.

Assat 2-2-1

Loss, 0–3 at Tappara, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara 2.15, Assat 2.75.
Loss, 2–4 against TPS Turku, Oct 17. Odds: Assat 2.40, TPS 2.61.
Win, 4–2 at Jokerit, Oct 16. Odds: Jokerit 2.14, Assat 3.04.
Win, 1–0 at KalPa, Oct 14. Odds: KalPa 2.81, Assat 2.32.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Hameenlinna, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Assat 1.88, HPK 3.50.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-1

09:06 Goal Assat: Pinard S. assists: Hillis C., Riihinen P. 0-1
11:02 2 min JYP: Ohtamaa A. Roughing
11:54 Goal SHG JYP: Ojantakanen V. 1-1
12:13 2 min Assat: Nikkila P. Tripping
13:54 Goal PPG JYP: True A. assists: Ojantakanen V., Vatanen S. 2-1

2nd period1-0

03:57 2 min JYP: Vidgren A. Diving
03:57 2 min Assat: Pinard S. Cross checking
16:00 Goal JYP: Pesonen H. assists: Newkirk R. 3-1

3rd period1-0

17:38 Goal ENG JYP: Tukiainen L. assists: Makinen O., Lassila J. 4-1
17:52 2 min JYP: Peltola E. Tripping
18:22 2 min Assat: Kim A. Interference

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Salminen O. for JYP (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Taponen R. for Assat (7-1-2 in the last 10 starts).
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for JYP.
6.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
4th vs 5th in the Liiga standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (JYP)	2.01	2.01	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.25	4.25	No change
1X2: 2 (ASS)	2.85	2.85	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap JYP	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

JYP vs Assat prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details