JYP vs Hameenlinna prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 26% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonJYPodds down 1.78Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.31Confidence 73%
- HandicapWonHPK +2.5odds up 1.30Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonJYPodds down 1.47Confidence 66%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonJYP or drawodds down 1.25Confidence 76%
- Draw no betWonJYPodds down 1.38Confidence 70%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonJYPodds down 2.35Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.22Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min3–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-1 (4%), 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 2, 2026: Hameenlinna 2, JYP 1.
- Feb 5, 2026: JYP 4, Hameenlinna 5, after a shootout.
- Dec 30, 2025: Hameenlinna 2, JYP 3, after overtime.
- Dec 19, 2025: Hameenlinna 1, JYP 4.
- Dec 12, 2025: JYP 3, Hameenlinna 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: JYP 1.90, Karpat 3.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Lukko, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.
- Loss, 1–6 at Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 9. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.02, JYP 3.05.
- Win, 2–1 at SaiPa, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–3 against Pelicans, Oct 20. Odds: HPK 2.52, Pelicans 2.22.
- Win, 3–1 against Ilves, Oct 16. Odds: HPK 3.90, Ilves 1.81.
- Loss, 1–2 at SaiPa, Oct 15. Odds: SaiPa 1.75, HPK 3.30.
- Win, 5–3 against KooKoo, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 at Assat, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Assat 1.88, HPK 3.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 12:33 2 min JYP: Ohtamaa A. Interference
- 15:07 2 min Hameenlinna: Alitalo V. Tripping
- 16:58 Goal PPG JYP: Torgersson D. assists: Lassila J., Arola J. 1-0
2nd period0-0
- 06:25 2 min Hameenlinna: Jokirinne V. Slashing
- 06:25 2 min JYP: Vidgren A. Roughing
- 11:07 2 min JYP: Setkov M. Holding
- 11:24 2 min Hameenlinna: Crespin J. Tripping
3rd period2-2
- 07:04 Goal Hameenlinna: Kuusisto O. assists: Korhonen O. 1-1
- 11:10 Goal JYP: Newkirk R. assists: Arola J., Bourque T. 2-1
- 17:39 Goal ENG JYP: Ohtamaa A. assists: Newkirk R. 3-1
- 19:13 Goal Hameenlinna: Ranford B. assists: Oden J., Paivarinta S. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for JYP, 1 for Hameenlinna.
- In goal: Setanen O. for JYP (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Crespin J. for Hameenlinna.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Hameenlinna.
- Save % gap: JYP 87.9%, Hameenlinna 92.6% over their recent games.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (JYP) | 1.58 | 1.58 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HAM) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap JYP | −0.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
JYP host Hameenlinna in the Liiga on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.