JYP vs Karpat Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

JYP or draw 1.35

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2LostJYPodds down 2.00Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.37Confidence 71%
HandicapWonKarpat +1.5odds up 1.45Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostJYPodds down 1.61Confidence 61%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonJYP or drawodds down 1.35Confidence 71%
Draw no betPushJYPodds down 1.55Confidence 63%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.10Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostJYPodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.22Confidence 77%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

JYP 32

Karpat

Final 4–5

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 9

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Went to overtime

JYP to winTo win 59% KAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–44%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–018%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-3-07-3-3

Home / road split1-0-03-2-2

StreakW1L1

Rest1 day5 days

Goals for3.02.7

Goals against2.52.6

In the standings4th7th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.4+0.1

Goals for2.82.6

Goals against2.42.5

Shots on goal27.123.8

Shots against23.124.2

Shooting %10.3%10.9%

Save %89.6%90.1%

Power-play %15.8%25.0%

Penalty kill %92.1%76.9%

Faceoff %51.4%51.1%

Penalty minutes11.85.2

Blocked shots8.78.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

JYP 32

Karpat

JYP won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 7.4 JYP 3.8 · KAR 3.6

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 5 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Sep 5, 2026: Karpat 3, JYP 4.
Dec 27, 2025: Karpat 2, JYP 4.
Dec 26, 2025: JYP 5, Karpat 3.
Oct 31, 2025: JYP 4, Karpat 5, after a shootout.
Oct 8, 2025: Karpat 5, JYP 2.

Last five games

JYP 2-3-0

Win, 3–2 against Lukko, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.
Loss, 1–6 at Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 9. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.02, JYP 3.05.
Win, 2–1 at SaiPa, Oct 8.
Loss, 1–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 3.
Loss, 1–2 at Hameenlinna, Oct 2.

Karpat 3-0-2

Overtime loss, 1–2 at Jukurit, after overtime, Oct 10.
Win, 3–2 at Pelicans, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Pelicans 2.18, Karpat 2.85.
Win, 8–7 against Kiekko-Espoo, after overtime, Oct 7.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Hameenlinna, after overtime, Oct 3.
Win, 3–1 at Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 2.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

10:59 2 min JYP: Setanen O. Tripping
17:03 2 min JYP: Bourque T. Holding

2nd period2-3

01:34 Goal JYP: True A. assists: Torgersson D. 1-0
04:43 Goal JYP: True A. assists: Vidgren A., Torgersson D. 2-0
10:26 Goal Karpat: Rissanen R. assists: Hirvonen R., Okany A. 2-1
10:50 2 min JYP: Bourque T. Delay of game
11:20 Goal PPG Karpat: Koivistoinen E. assists: Matinmikko A., Ratinen S. 2-2
13:06 Goal Karpat: Pakkila E. assists: Okany A., Hirvonen R. 2-3
17:10 2 min JYP: Torgersson D. Diving
17:10 2 min Karpat: Koivistoinen E. Interference
17:33 2 min Karpat: Rissanen R. Cross checking

3rd period2-1

01:22 Goal JYP: Peltola E. assists: Vatanen S., True A. 3-3
03:36 2 min Karpat: — Too many men on the ice
05:32 Goal PPG JYP: Tukiainen L. assists: Arola J., Lassila J. 4-3
06:04 Goal Karpat: Soini K. assists: Tichacek J., Pakkila E. 4-4
15:06 2 min Karpat: Erholtz E. Slashing
17:12 2 min Karpat: — Too many men on the ice

Overtime0-1

02:57 Goal Karpat: Koivistoinen E. assists: Tichacek J., Erholtz E. 4-5

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Rest advantage: 5 days off for Karpat, 1 for JYP.
In goal: Setanen O. for JYP (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Vedenpaa V. for Karpat (0-7-3 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for JYP.
−2.4 goals away — Karpat averaged 4.0 at home and 1.6 away this season.
7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (JYP)	1.92	1.90	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	3.94	4.04	Drifted
1X2: 2 (KAR)	3.50	3.50	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap JYP	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

JYP vs Karpat prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details