JYP vs Lukko prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 33% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostJYPodds down 2.23Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.42Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonLukko +1.5odds down 1.38Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonJYPodds down 1.82Confidence 57%
- Double chanceWonJYP or draw1.43Confidence 69%
- Draw no betPushJYP1.71Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.09Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.67Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.23Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–120%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 9, 2026: Lukko 0, JYP 5.
- Feb 3, 2026: Lukko 5, JYP 2.
- Jan 27, 2026: JYP 4, Lukko 3.
- Nov 21, 2025: JYP 4, Lukko 3, after overtime.
- Oct 10, 2025: Lukko 4, JYP 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–6 at Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 9. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.02, JYP 3.05.
- Win, 2–1 at SaiPa, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–2 at Hameenlinna, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–3 at IFK Helsinki, Sep 25.
- Win, 5–1 at Ilves, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves 1.98, Lukko 3.20.
- Loss, 2–5 against Assat, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–0 at Assat, Oct 2.
- Win, 2–1 at KalPa, Sep 26.
- Win, 3–2 against Tappara, Sep 24.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 03:19 Goal Lukko: Valila A. assists: Viitasalo N., Saarela A. 0-1
- 06:06 2 min Lukko: Saarela A. Tripping
- 07:52 2 min JYP: Pesonen H. Cross checking
- 16:47 Goal JYP: Peltola E. assists: Setkov M., True A. 1-1
2nd period0-1
- 06:59 2 min JYP: Vidgren A. Tripping
- 08:13 2 min JYP: Vatanen S. Cross checking
- 11:49 2 min Lukko: Stenqvist J. Tripping
- 14:59 Goal Lukko: Valila A. assists: Saarela A., Robert F. 1-2
3rd period1-0
- 00:10 Goal JYP: Ojantakanen V. assists: Bourque T., Newkirk R. 2-2
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
Newkirk R.
✗missed
Beaucage A.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Ojantakanen V.
✓scored
Krannila J.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Pesonen H.
✗missed
Ruohomaa M.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0-0 away for Lukko this season.
- In goal: Setanen O. for JYP (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Salonen D. for Lukko (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for JYP.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Lukko.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (JYP) | 2.28 | 2.32 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.78 | 3.77 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (LUK) | 2.80 | 2.75 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap JYP | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
JYP host Lukko in the Liiga on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.