JYP vs Tappara prediction
Chance to win · 40% and 37% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostJYPodds down 2.28Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.38Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonTappara +1.5odds up 1.35Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostJYPodds down 1.78Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostJYP or drawodds down 1.43Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostJYPodds down 1.73Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.21Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–221%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 11, 2026: JYP 2, Tappara 3, after overtime.
- Feb 18, 2026: Tappara 4, JYP 1.
- Dec 3, 2025: Tappara 6, JYP 3.
- Sep 26, 2025: JYP 4, Tappara 3.
- Jan 8, 2025: JYP 6, Tappara 4.
Last five games
- Win, 4–1 against Assat, Oct 24. Odds: JYP 2.01, Assat 2.85.
- Win, 3–2 against Hameenlinna, Oct 22. Odds: JYP 1.58, HPK 4.25.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: JYP 1.90, Karpat 3.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Lukko, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.
- Loss, 1–6 at Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 9. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.02, JYP 3.05.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Pelicans, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Pelicans 3.00, Tappara 2.05.
- Win, 3–0 against Assat, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara 2.15, Assat 2.75.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at KooKoo, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: KooKoo 3.45, Tappara 1.65.
- Loss, 2–3 at Jukurit, Oct 17. Odds: Jukurit 3.11, Tappara 2.11.
- Loss, 1–2 against Lukko, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara 1.88, Lukko 3.65.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 02:01 Goal Tappara: Lindqvist M. assists: Vanhatalo V., Tuulola J. 0-1
- 02:56 2 min Tappara: Mattila Je. Tripping
- 18:17 2 min JYP: Vatanen S. High sticking
- 18:33 Goal PPG Tappara: Simontaival K. assists: Lindqvist M., Suvanto O. 0-2
2nd period1-2
- 01:36 Goal JYP: Tukiainen L. assists: Makinen O., Lassila J. 1-2
- 04:10 2 min JYP: Setkov M. Tripping
- 06:13 Goal Tappara: Sallinen T. assists: Fabre D., Mattila Ju. 1-3
- 19:19 Goal Tappara: Haapala H. assists: Tuulola J., Simontaival K. 1-4
3rd period3-2
- 06:28 Goal Tappara: Jokipakka J. assists: Simontaival K., Suvanto O. 1-5
- 10:07 2 min Tappara: Pavel O. Slashing
- 10:46 Goal PPG JYP: Ojantakanen V. assists: Pesonen H., True A. 2-5
- 12:37 2 min Tappara: Simontaival K. High sticking
- 13:26 Goal PPG JYP: Newkirk R. assists: True A., Pesonen H. 3-5
- 16:29 Goal Tappara: Tuulola J. assists: Rauhala O. 3-6
- 18:24 2 min Tappara: Rauhala O. Tripping
- 19:27 Goal PPG JYP: Puustinen J. assists: Arola J., Lassila J. 4-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on JYP dropped from 1.87 to 1.62 since they were first published.
- In goal: Setanen O. for JYP (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Metsola J. for Tappara (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Tappara.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Tappara.
- 7.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (JYP) | 2.01 | 1.96 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TAP) | 2.85 | 3.00 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap JYP | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
JYP host Tappara in the Liiga on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.