K-Vantaa vs IPK prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 59%Full game
- 1X2IPK2.40Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderO5.51.69Confidence 52%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapIPK +1.51.29Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)IPK1.88Confidence 52%
- Double chanceIPK or draw1.51Confidence 66%
- Draw no betIPKConfidence 52%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)YesConfidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2IPKConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.51.78Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct score2–44%chance
- 1st period correct score0–27%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 2-5 (3%), 3-4 (2%)
Predicted team stats
The brighter bar is the bigger figureShots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 25, 2026: IPK 4, K-Vantaa 0.
- Mar 28, 2026: IPK 3, K-Vantaa 7.
- Jan 23, 2026: IPK 4, K-Vantaa 7.
- Jan 7, 2026: K-Vantaa 2, IPK 3.
- Dec 12, 2025: IPK 5, K-Vantaa 1.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against RoKi, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: K-Vantaa 2.20, RoKi 2.50.
- Loss, 0–2 at TUTO, Oct 29. Odds: TUTO 1.85, K-Vantaa 3.10.
- Win, 3–2 against TUTO, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: K-Vantaa 2.45, TUTO 2.25.
- Win, 2–0 against Kettera, Oct 17. Odds: K-Vantaa 2.05, Kettera 2.76.
- Loss, 2–5 against KeuPa, Oct 15. Odds: K-Vantaa 1.66, KeuPa 4.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Pyry, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: IPK 1.45, Pyry 4.80.
- Win, 3–2 against KeuPa, Oct 29. Odds: IPK 1.57, KeuPa 4.15.
- Win, 3–1 against Kiekko-Pojat, Oct 23. Odds: IPK 1.90, Kiekko-Pojat 2.95.
- Win, 5–4 at RoKi, Oct 21. Odds: RoKi 2.45, IPK 2.25.
- Loss, 0–4 against TUTO, Oct 16. Odds: IPK 2.15, TUTO 2.72.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 5-0-0 away for IPK this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — K-Vantaa −0.7, IPK +0.9 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for IPK.
- +1.6 goals at home — K-Vantaa averaged 3.3 at home and 1.7 away this season.
- Save % gap: K-Vantaa 92.5%, IPK 90.4% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VAN) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (IPK) | 2.35 | 2.30 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap VAN | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Mestis standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 1.143 | 47 | 31 | +16 | |
| 2 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 53 | 29 | +24 | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 26 | .929 | 35 | 33 | +2 | |
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 49 | 0 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .700 | 46 | 42 | +4 | |
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 45 | 53 | −8 | |
| 7 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 47 | 55 | −8 | |
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .600 | 36 | 48 | −12 | |
| 9 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 13 | .406 | 29 | 47 | −18 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- 5th-8th places
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
K-Vantaa host IPK in the Mestis on Friday, November 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.