Kalmar vs Södertälje prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 29% in regulation
Brochu B.StartedSV 88.8% · GAA 2.70 · 7-3-0
Harenstam L.StartedSV 90.9% · GAA 2.30 · 5-5-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostKalmarodds down 2.15Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.40Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonSodertalje +1.5odds up 1.41Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKalmarodds up 1.52Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonKalmar or drawodds down 1.40Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushKalmarodds down 1.70Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKalmarodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.21Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Kalmar 3–2
Sodertalje Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–118%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formKalmar
Södertälje
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Kalmar 2–3
Sodertalje - Mar 27, 2026: Kalmar 0, Södertälje 2.
- Mar 25, 2026: Södertälje 3, Kalmar 2.
- Mar 23, 2026: Kalmar 3, Södertälje 2, after overtime.
- Mar 21, 2026: Södertälje 2, Kalmar 1.
- Mar 19, 2026: Södertälje 2, Kalmar 5.
Last five games
Kalmar
4-0-1 - Win, 3–0 against Almtuna, Oct 9. Odds: Kalmar 1.66, Almtuna 4.35.
- Win, 5–4 at Vimmerby, Oct 7.
- Win, 2–0 against Mora, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Ostersund, after overtime, Sep 30.
- Win, 3–2 at Vasteras, after overtime, Sep 28.
Sodertalje
4-1-0 - Win, 3–1 against Mora, Oct 11.
- Win, 3–2 against Vimmerby, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Sodertalje 1.43, Vimmerby 5.75.
- Win, 4–1 at MODO, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–3 against Ostersund, Oct 2.
- Loss, 0–4 at Almtuna, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 02:29 Goal Södertälje: Muzito-Bagenda D. assists: Vanderbeck A. 0-1
- 04:37 Goal PPG Kalmar: Ihs Wozniak J. assists: Andersson J. 1-1
- 13:12 Goal Kalmar: Bergsland T. assists: Ekmark E. 2-1
2nd period0-2
- 02:15 Goal PPG Södertälje: Fizer T. assists: Souch C., Harenstam L. 2-2
- 06:51 Goal Södertälje: Ikonen J. assists: Fizer T. 2-3
3rd period1-0
- 18:59 Goal Kalmar: Wigley M. assists: Johansson K., Vitelli R. 3-3
Overtime1-0
- 01:11 Goal Kalmar: Felton C. assists: Vitelli R., Johansson K. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Södertälje coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Kalmar coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Kalmar, 2 for Södertälje.
- In goal: Brochu B. for Kalmar (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Harenstam L. for Södertälje (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Södertälje.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAL) | 1.95 | 1.90 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.21 | 4.28 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SOD) | 3.07 | 3.17 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KAL | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Hockey Allsvenskan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AIK |
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1.176 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Leksand |
17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 1.147 | 73 | 40 | +33 |
| 3 | Kalmar |
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 1.000 | 57 | 45 | +12 |
| 4 |  Modo |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33 | .971 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 | Sodertalje |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | .912 | 50 | 39 | +11 |
| 6 |  Oskarshamn |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .806 | 69 | 61 | +8 |
| 7 |  Mora |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24 | .706 | 48 | 41 | +7 |
| 8 |  BIK Karlskoga |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 43 | 53 | −10 |
| 9 |  Almtuna |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 44 | 55 | −11 |
| 10 |  Vasteras |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22 | .647 | 44 | 46 | −2 |
| 11 |  Ostersund |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | .618 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 12 |  Vimmerby |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 13 | .406 | 43 | 61 | −18 |
| 13 |  Nybro |
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 13 | .382 | 33 | 54 | −21 |
| 14 |  Visby/Roma |
17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 12 | .353 | 36 | 67 | −31 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Kalmar host Södertälje in the Hockey Allsvenskan on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.