KalPa U20 vs Jukurit U20 prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostKalPa U20odds up 1.85Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonJukurit U20 +1.51.47Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKalPa U20odds up 1.52Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostKalPa U20 or drawodds up 1.30Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostKalPa U20Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKalPa U20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.83Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 9, 2026: Jukurit U20 2, KalPa U20 3, after a shootout.
- Feb 14, 2026: Jukurit U20 1, KalPa U20 4.
- Dec 3, 2025: Jukurit U20 2, KalPa U20 1.
- Nov 14, 2025: KalPa U20 4, Jukurit U20 6.
- Oct 3, 2025: KalPa U20 3, Jukurit U20 6.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 against Jyvaskyla U20, Oct 25. Odds: KalPa U20 2.45, JYP U20 2.25.
- Win, 6–0 against RoKi U20, Oct 24. Odds: KalPa U20 1.22, RoKi U20 9.00.
- Loss, 1–5 against Karpat U20, Oct 23. Odds: KalPa U20 1.95, Karpat U20 2.80.
- Loss, 0–2 at Jyvaskyla U20, Oct 17. Odds: JYP U20 1.95, KalPa U20 2.80.
- Win, 3–2 at Jukurit U20, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Jukurit U20 2.12, KalPa U20 2.57.
- Win, 2–0 at RoKi U20, Oct 25. Odds: RoKi U20 8.50, Jukurit U20 1.24.
- Win, 4–0 at Karpat U20, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat U20 1.80, Jukurit U20 3.25.
- Win, 3–2 against Vaasan Sport U20, Oct 23. Odds: Jukurit U20 1.85, Sport U20 3.00.
- Win, 3–2 at Kiekko-Espoo U20, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: K-Espoo U20 1.43, Jukurit U20 5.00.
- Win, 6–3 against Jyvaskyla U20, Oct 16. Odds: Jukurit U20 2.72, JYP U20 2.02.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 15:59 Goal KalPa U20: Timofejev D. assists: Kosonen S., Siren V. 1-0
2nd period2-2
- 00:22 Goal PPG Jukurit U20: Baggstrom R. assists: Nieminen S., Remes O. 1-1
- 12:46 Goal PPG KalPa U20: Jung S. assists: Timofejev D., Pakarinen R. 2-1
- 13:33 Goal PPG KalPa U20: Vetelainen T. assists: Linna A., Pakarinen R. 3-1
- 19:52 Goal Jukurit U20: Baggstrom R. assists: Remes O., Teshome N. 3-2
3rd period1-4
- 02:51 Goal KalPa U20: Timofejev D. assists: Vetelainen T., Jung S. 4-2
- 11:37 Goal Jukurit U20: Heiskanen J. assists: Valojarvi V., Sipilainen V. 4-3
- 12:51 Goal Jukurit U20: Teshome N. assists: Salomaa L., Himanen N. 4-4
- 15:47 Goal PPG Jukurit U20: Baggstrom R. assists: Nieminen S., Teshome N. 4-5
- 19:19 Goal ENG Jukurit U20: Teshome N. assists: Valojarvi V. 4-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Jukurit U20 coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Jukurit U20.
- +1.1 goals at home — KalPa U20 averaged 3.7 at home and 2.6 away this season.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 12th vs 4th in the SM-sarja U20 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAL) | 1.88 | 1.93 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.15 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (JUK) | 2.95 | 2.90 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap KAL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
KalPa U20 host Jukurit U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.