KalPa U20 vs Karpat U20 prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonKarpat U202.47Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.30Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonKarpat U20 +1.51.34Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKarpat U201.90Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonKarpat U20 or draw1.47Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonKarpat U20Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKarpat U202.75Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.70Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–53%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (3%), 2-4 (3%), 2-3 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 12, 2025: Karpat U20 6, KalPa U20 3.
- Sep 12, 2025: KalPa U20 3, Karpat U20 4.
- Jan 24, 2025: Karpat U20 1, KalPa U20 5.
- Jan 16, 2025: KalPa U20 1, Karpat U20 4.
- Oct 18, 2024: KalPa U20 6, Karpat U20 1.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–2 at Jyvaskyla U20, Oct 17. Odds: JYP U20 1.95, KalPa U20 2.80.
- Win, 3–2 at Jukurit U20, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Jukurit U20 2.12, KalPa U20 2.57.
- Win, 4–2 against KooKoo U20, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–2 at SaiPa U20, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Win, 6–5 against Hameenlinna U20, after overtime, Sep 26.
- Win, 7–2 against Vaasan Sport U20, Oct 16. Odds: Karpat U20 1.74, Sport U20 3.25.
- Win, 5–3 against RoKi U20, Oct 14. Odds: Karpat U20 1.24, RoKi U20 6.50.
- Win, 3–1 at Hameenlinna U20, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–5 at Ilves U20, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves U20 1.71, Karpat U20 3.45.
- Win, 3–2 against Vaasan Sport U20, after overtime, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Karpat U20 coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Karpat U20.
- +1.2 goals at home — KalPa U20 averaged 3.8 at home and 2.6 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for KalPa U20.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAL) | 1.95 | 1.95 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KAR) | 2.80 | 2.80 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap KAL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
KalPa U20 host Karpat U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.