KalPa vs Assat Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

KalPa +1.5 1.27

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2LostKalPaodds up 2.50Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostO3.5odds down 1.28Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKalPa +1.5odds up 1.27Confidence 72%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKalPaodds up 1.93Confidence 52%
Double chanceLostKalPa or drawodds up 1.50Confidence 68%
Draw no betLostKalPaodds up 1.87Confidence 58%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.14Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.46Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.16Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 8% since they opened; the odds drifted 3% since they opened; the odds drifted 5% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

KalPa 41

Assat

Final 0–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 1

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

KAL to winTo win 54% ASS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min0–14%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–022%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 1 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 0-0, 2-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record4-6-17-3-2

Home / road split3-3-03-1-1

StreakL3L1

Rest3 days4 days

Goals for2.52.5

Goals against2.62.3

In the standings12th5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.2+0.1

Goals for2.62.3

Goals against2.42.2

Shots on goal19.723.9

Shots against24.421.4

Shooting %13.2%9.6%

Save %90.2%89.7%

Power-play %23.5%21.2%

Penalty kill %91.9%74.1%

Faceoff %50.4%53.6%

Penalty minutes7.45.4

Blocked shots8.910.6

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

KalPa 23

Assat

Assat won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.4 KAL 2.6 · ASS 3.8

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Mar 5, 2026: Assat 2, KalPa 3.
Jan 30, 2026: KalPa 2, Assat 3, after overtime.
Nov 28, 2025: Assat 5, KalPa 1.
Sep 24, 2025: KalPa 4, Assat 7.
Apr 9, 2025: KalPa 3, Assat 2.

Last five games

KalPa 1-3-1

Loss, 1–6 at IFK Helsinki, Oct 10.
Loss, 2–3 against Tappara, Oct 9. Odds: KalPa 3.10, Tappara 2.08.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Jukurit, after overtime, Oct 3.
Win, 4–3 against SaiPa, Oct 2.
Loss, 1–2 against Lukko, Sep 26.

Assat 2-1-2

Overtime loss, 2–3 against Hameenlinna, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Assat 1.88, HPK 3.50.
Win, 1–0 at Jukurit, Oct 7.
Win, 5–2 at Lukko, Oct 3.
Loss, 0–3 against Lukko, Oct 2.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Hameenlinna, after overtime, Sep 26.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

07:55 2 min Assat: Nikkila P. Hooking
14:55 2 min KalPa: Lappalainen L. Holding

2nd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

3rd period0-1

03:50 2 min KalPa: Klemetti A. Slashing
04:08 Goal PPG Assat: Bjorkqvist K. assists: Kostilainen S., Nikkila P. 0-1
10:59 2 min KalPa: Vilen E. Tripping
17:24 2 min KalPa: Gallet H. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for KalPa coming into this game.
In goal: Korhonen R. for KalPa (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Bednar J. for Assat (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Assat.
+1.6 goals at home — KalPa averaged 3.2 at home and 1.6 away this season.
6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAL)	2.81	2.81	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.72	3.66	Shortened
1X2: 2 (ASS)	2.29	2.32	Drifted
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap KAL	−0.5	+0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

KalPa vs Assat prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details