KalPa vs Jokerit prediction
Chance to win · 59% and 21% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonKalPaodds up 2.32Confidence 59%
- Over/UnderWonU5.51.70Confidence 56%
- HandicapLostJokerit +1.5odds down 1.34Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonKalPaodds up 1.78Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonKalPa or drawodds up 1.44Confidence 80%
- Draw no betWonKalPaodds up 1.75Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonKalPaodds up 2.77Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.19Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–019%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
- Win, 5–2 against Vaasan Sport, Oct 27. Odds: KalPa 1.91, Vaasan Sport 3.20.
- Win, 5–1 at Karpat, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.30.
- Loss, 2–5 at Karpat, Oct 23. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.50.
- Win, 3–1 against Pelicans, Oct 17. Odds: KalPa 2.48, Pelicans 2.54.
- Loss, 0–1 against Assat, Oct 14. Odds: KalPa 2.81, Assat 2.32.
- Win, 6–3 at KooKoo, Oct 24. Odds: KooKoo 2.75, Jokerit 2.05.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Ilves, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Ilves 1.73, Jokerit 4.10.
- Loss, 2–4 against Assat, Oct 16. Odds: Jokerit 2.14, Assat 3.04.
- Loss, 0–3 against Ilves, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 against IFK Helsinki, after overtime, Oct 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 02:52 2 min Jokerit: Krogdahl M. Holding
- 10:32 2 min Jokerit: Manninen O. Hooking
- 17:04 2 min Jokerit: Tuulola E. Delay of game
- 18:33 Goal PPG KalPa: Hartikainen T. assists: Piitulainen J., Kapanen K. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 09:37 2 min KalPa: Ketola J. Holding
- 13:55 2 min KalPa: Gallet H. Tripping
- 18:43 Goal KalPa: Borchardt C. assists: Saarelainen J., Gallet H. 2-0
3rd period2-1
- 10:09 Goal Jokerit: Forslund A. assists: Larsen O., Pulli V. 2-1
- 12:23 2 min KalPa: Miilunpohja R. Delay of game
- 13:11 2 min Jokerit: Virta P. Holding
- 18:27 Goal ENG KalPa: Saarelainen J. assists: Kapanen K., Borchardt C. 3-1
- 19:30 Goal ENG KalPa: Piitulainen J. assists: Karlsson A. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Jokerit, 2 for KalPa.
- 1-4-3 away for Jokerit this season.
- In goal: Lekkas S. for KalPa (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Karhunen T. for Jokerit (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts).
- +0.9 goals at home — KalPa averaged 3.0 at home and 2.1 away this season.
- 12th vs 16th in the Liiga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAL) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (JOK) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap KAL | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
KalPa host Jokerit in the Liiga on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.