KalPa vs Pelicans Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

KalPa +1.5 1.25

Confidence76%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2WonKalPaodds down 2.45Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.67Confidence 59%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKalPa +1.5odds down 1.25Confidence 76%
Winner (incl. OT)WonKalPaodds down 1.87Confidence 64%
Double chanceWonKalPa or drawodds down 1.49Confidence 74%
Draw no betWonKalPaodds down 1.88Confidence 67%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostKalPaodds down 2.90Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.67Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

KalPa 41

Pelicans

Final 3–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

KAL to winTo win 62% KAL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–15%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–119%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (3%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record4-7-15-5-1

Home / road split3-4-02-2-0

StreakL4L2

Rest2 daysBack-to-back

Goals for2.32.3

Goals against2.52.3

In the standings12th13th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.3−0.3

Goals for2.21.9

Goals against2.52.2

Shots on goal21.026.1

Shots against24.617.9

Shooting %10.5%7.3%

Save %89.8%88.8%

Power-play %18.8%13.9%

Penalty kill %88.9%82.1%

Faceoff %51.8%47.2%

Penalty minutes7.214.1

Blocked shots10.210.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

KalPa 41

Pelicans

KalPa won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 3.6 KAL 2.2 · PEL 1.4

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Sep 9, 2026: Pelicans 2, KalPa 0.
Feb 10, 2026: KalPa 5, Pelicans 3.
Jan 16, 2026: Pelicans 1, KalPa 3.
Jan 3, 2026: KalPa 2, Pelicans 1.
Oct 3, 2025: Pelicans 0, KalPa 1, after a shootout.

Last five games

KalPa 1-3-1

Loss, 0–1 against Assat, Oct 14. Odds: KalPa 2.81, Assat 2.32.
Loss, 1–6 at IFK Helsinki, Oct 10.
Loss, 2–3 against Tappara, Oct 9. Odds: KalPa 3.10, Tappara 2.08.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Jukurit, after overtime, Oct 3.
Win, 4–3 against SaiPa, Oct 2.

Pelicans 2-2-1

Loss, 1–2 against Vaasan Sport, Oct 16. Odds: Pelicans 1.64, Vaasan Sport 4.80.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Karpat, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Pelicans 2.18, Karpat 2.85.
Win, 6–3 at KooKoo, Oct 3.
Win, 2–1 against IFK Helsinki, Sep 26.
Loss, 0–3 at Jokerit, Sep 22.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

03:59 2 min KalPa: — Too many men on the ice
04:07 Goal PPG Pelicans: Fortier G. assists: Dudas A., Stapley B. 0-1
13:12 2 min Pelicans: Pohjalainen A. Delay of game
20:00 2 min Pelicans: Kettunen A. Hooking

2nd period3-0

00:43 Goal PPG KalPa: Hartikainen T. assists: Ruotsalainen V., Piitulainen J. 1-1
02:09 2 min KalPa: Lappalainen L. Interference
06:37 Goal KalPa: Borchardt C. assists: Vilen E., Gallet H. 2-1
06:58 Goal KalPa: Hartikainen T. assists: Somppi O., Piitulainen J. 3-1
10:23 2 min KalPa: Kononen J. Tripping

3rd period0-0

03:42 2 min KalPa: Vilen E. Holding
05:57 2 min Pelicans: Kousa M. Cross checking

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for Pelicans, who played yesterday.
4-game losing streak for KalPa coming into this game.
In goal: Korhonen R. for KalPa (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts), Olkinuora J. for Pelicans (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for KalPa.
+1.1 goals at home — KalPa averaged 2.7 at home and 1.6 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAL)	2.48	2.48	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.66	3.66	No change
1X2: 2 (PEL)	2.54	2.54	No change
Over/Under line	5	4.5	Line lowered
Handicap KAL	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

KalPa vs Pelicans prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details