KalPa vs Vaasan Sport Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U6.5 1.28

Confidence73%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2WonKalPaodds up 1.87Confidence 55%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.28Confidence 73%
HandicapLostVaasan Sport +1.5odds up 1.46Confidence 61%
Winner (incl. OT)WonKalPaodds up 1.51Confidence 61%
Double chanceWonKalPa or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 81%
Draw no betWonKalPaodds up 1.36Confidence 76%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostKalPaodds up 2.32Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.69Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 7% since they opened; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

KalPa 21

Vaasan Sport

Final 5–2

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

KAL to winTo win 71% KAL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min5–25%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–120%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 1-0, 0-0, 1-1
Likeliest 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-8-16-8-2

Home / road split4-4-02-4-0

StreakW1L3

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for2.51.9

Goals against2.52.9

In the standings12th15th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.4−0.8

Goals for2.41.7

Goals against2.82.5

Shots on goal19.822.2

Shots against24.728.4

Shooting %12.1%7.7%

Save %89.5%91.2%

Power-play %28.6%18.8%

Penalty kill %86.1%88.9%

Faceoff %51.6%50.3%

Penalty minutes7.25.4

Blocked shots8.39.6

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

KalPa 50

Vaasan Sport

KalPa won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.8 KAL 4.8 · VAA 2.0

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 5 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Mar 4, 2026: Vaasan Sport 1, KalPa 6.
Jan 9, 2026: KalPa 4, Vaasan Sport 3.
Dec 4, 2025: KalPa 5, Vaasan Sport 3.
Nov 29, 2025: Vaasan Sport 2, KalPa 5.
Feb 15, 2025: KalPa 4, Vaasan Sport 1.

Last five games

KalPa 2-3-0

Win, 5–1 at Karpat, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.30.
Loss, 2–5 at Karpat, Oct 23. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.50.
Win, 3–1 against Pelicans, Oct 17. Odds: KalPa 2.48, Pelicans 2.54.
Loss, 0–1 against Assat, Oct 14. Odds: KalPa 2.81, Assat 2.32.
Loss, 1–6 at IFK Helsinki, Oct 10.

Vaasan Sport 2-3-0

Loss, 1–3 against SaiPa, Oct 24. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.85, SaiPa 2.01.
Loss, 3–5 against SaiPa, Oct 23. Odds: Vaasan Sport 3.30, SaiPa 1.86.
Loss, 0–3 against Jukurit, Oct 20. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.18, Jukurit 2.55.
Win, 2–1 at Pelicans, Oct 16. Odds: Pelicans 1.64, Vaasan Sport 4.80.
Win, 4–3 against KooKoo, Oct 15. Odds: Vaasan Sport 2.07, KooKoo 2.52.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

06:08 2 min Vaasan Sport: Diaco G. High sticking
09:49 Goal Vaasan Sport: Nieminen V. assists: Granath P., Sundstrom J. 0-1
13:17 2 min KalPa: Rissanen J. High sticking
18:54 2 min Vaasan Sport: Heikkinen L. Hooking

2nd period2-1

09:06 Goal KalPa: Vilen E. assists: Klemetti A., Karlsson A. 1-1
10:45 2 min KalPa: Saarelainen J. High sticking
11:46 5 min Vaasan Sport: Ervasti K. Slashing
12:25 Goal Vaasan Sport: Burger E. assists: Akerstrom S., Granath P. 1-2
13:30 Goal PPG KalPa: Kapanen K. assists: Rissanen J., Lappalainen L. 2-2
13:48 2 min Vaasan Sport: Kangas K. Slashing
19:25 2 min Vaasan Sport: Palve O. Slashing
19:56 2 min KalPa: Rissanen J. Tripping

3rd period3-0

08:32 Goal KalPa: Saarelainen J. assists: Kapanen K., Borchardt C. 3-2
18:37 Goal ENG KalPa: Borchardt C. assists: Tammela J. 4-2
18:56 Goal ENG KalPa: Piitulainen J. assists: Kononen J., Rissanen J. 5-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Vaasan Sport coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Vaasan Sport dropped from 2.80 to 2.35 since they were first published.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for KalPa.
In goal: Korhonen R. for KalPa (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Harkonen M. for Vaasan Sport (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAL)	1.91	1.91	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.25	4.25	No change
1X2: 2 (VAA)	3.20	3.20	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap KAL	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

KalPa vs Vaasan Sport prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details