Karaganda vs Almaty prediction
Chance to win · 79% and 9% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2LostKaragandaodds up 1.13Confidence 77%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU7.5odds up 1.36Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostKaraganda -1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKaragandaodds up 1.05Confidence 84%
- Double chanceWonKaraganda or drawodds down 1.03Confidence 89%
- Draw no betPushKaraganda1.04Confidence 88%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.17Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKaragandaodds up 1.55Confidence 56%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.64Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Karaganda 4–1
Almaty Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–47%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–214%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-1 (5%), 5-2 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonKaraganda
Almaty
Head-to-head
Karaganda 4–1
Almaty - Oct 30, 2026: Karaganda 6, Almaty 1.
- Sep 17, 2026: Almaty 2, Karaganda 5.
- Sep 16, 2026: Almaty 6, Karaganda 3.
- Jan 20, 2026: Almaty 4, Karaganda 5, after overtime.
- Jan 19, 2026: Almaty 1, Karaganda 4.
Last five games
Karaganda
4-0-1 - Win, 6–0 against Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 25. Odds: Karaganda 1.22, Beibarys 9.00.
- Win, 5–0 against Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 24. Odds: Karaganda 1.22, Beibarys 9.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 20. Odds: Karaganda 1.53, Gornyak 4.50.
- Win, 4–3 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 19. Odds: Karaganda 1.57, Gornyak 4.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kokshetau, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Kokshetau 3.36, Karaganda 1.77.
Almaty
1-4-0 - Loss, 3–4 at Kokshetau, Oct 26. Odds: Kokshetau 1.12, Almaty 12.50.
- Loss, 0–3 at Kokshetau, Oct 25. Odds: Kokshetau 1.18, Almaty 10.00.
- Loss, 0–4 against Torpedo, Oct 20. Odds: Almaty 18.00, Torpedo 1.04.
- Loss, 1–9 against Torpedo, Oct 19. Odds: Almaty 5.70, Torpedo 1.36.
- Win, 5–2 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 16. Odds: Almaty 3.66, Gornyak 1.73.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 00:28 Goal Karaganda: Karaban D. assists: Likhotnikov A., Dyukarev V. 1-0
- 01:14 Goal Karaganda: Nikulin V. assists: Volkov V. 2-0
- 15:53 Goal Almaty: Fokin Y. assists: Litovchenko V. 2-1
- 16:18 Goal Almaty: Gafarov D. assists: Perkin A. 2-2
2nd period1-1
- 01:44 Goal Karaganda: Borisevich A. assists: Volkov V., Namestnikov Y. 3-2
- 06:14 Goal Almaty: Olshansky S. assists: Belous V., Aidukov D. 3-3
3rd period1-1
- 08:19 Goal Karaganda: Nikulin V. assists: Borisevich A., Volkov V. 4-3
- 12:05 Goal PPG Almaty: Rymarev Y. assists: Litovchenko V., Olshansky S. 4-4
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout0-2
-
Round 1
Likhotnikov A.
✗missed
Rymarev Y.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Presnov D.
✗missed
Olshansky S.
✓scored
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Karaganda coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for Almaty coming into this game.
- 12-0-1 at home for Karaganda this season.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Karaganda.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (KAR) | 1.22 | 1.22 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.30 | 6.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ALM) | 9.80 | 9.80 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap KAR | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo |
26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 |
| 2 |  Nomad Astana |
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 |
| 3 |  Kokshetau |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 |
| 4 | Karaganda |
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 |
| 5 |  Kulager |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 |
| 6 |  Gornyak Rudny |
26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 |
| 7 | Almaty |
26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 |
| 8 |  Aktobe |
26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 |
| 9 |  Beibarys Atyrau |
25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 |
| 10 |  Pavlodar |
24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Karaganda host Almaty in the Championship on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.